Suns vs Mavericks Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The Phoenix Suns (35-29) 0.5-point favorites over versus the Dallas Mavericks (33-31) on March 5, 2023 at American Airlines Center. The matchup features two of the NBA’s best teams at defending against the 3-pointer — the Suns are second (11.4 treys conceded per game) and the Mavericks are first (10.9). The point total is set as 234 points for the contest.

How to bet Suns vs. Mavericks

Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 0.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Suns as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Suns have -109 odds to pick up the win, while the Mavericks are listed at -110 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 234 points.

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Suns vs. Mavericks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Suns vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

In the Suns’ 64 games this year, they have 33 wins against the spread. Phoenix has been the favorite in 39 games this season and has come away with the win 26 times (66.7%) in those contests. Suns games this year have gone over the total in 28 out of 64 opportunities (43.8%).

In the Mavericks’ 64 games this year, they have 23 wins against the spread. Dallas has won 30% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (6-14). Mavericks games this year have eclipsed the over/under 56.2% of the time (36 out of 64 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Suns Leaders
Kevin Durant 41 29.3 6.8 5.2 0.8 1.5 1.8
Devin Booker 37 27 4.6 5.7 0.8 0.4 2.3
Deandre Ayton 55 18.5 10.1 2 0.6 0.8 0.1
Chris Paul 43 13.5 4.2 9 1.6 0.4 1.6
Cameron Payne 32 11.5 2.3 4.8 0.8 0.2 1.7


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Doncic 54 33.4 8.7 8.1 1.5 0.5 2.8
Kyrie Irving 48 27 5.1 5.5 1.1 0.8 3.3
Christian Wood 52 17.4 7.8 1.7 0.4 1.1 1.7
Tim Hardaway Jr. 58 13.9 3.6 1.7 0.7 0.1 2.9
Josh Green 44 9.1 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.1 1.2
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Suns vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Mavericks: Davis Bertans: Probable (Calf), Maximilian Kleber: Probable (Hamstring)

What you need to know about the Phoenix Suns

Phoenix has been led by its defense, as it ranks fourth-best in the NBA by surrendering just 110.8 points per game. It ranks 21st in the league in points scored (112.8 per contest). The Suns are posting 113.8 points per game at home. In road games, they are averaging 111.8 points per contest. In their last 10 games, the Suns have been scoring 113.8 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 112.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Phoenix is draining 12.3 treys per game this year (13th-ranked in NBA), and it has a 37.9% three-point percentage (fifth-best). Of the shots attempted by the Suns in 2022-23, 63.6% of them have been two-pointers (70.4% of the team’s made baskets) and 36.4% have been three-pointers (29.6%).

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What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas is 17th in the league in points scored (113.8 per game) and 13th in points conceded (112.9). In 2022-23 the Mavericks are scoring 3.4 more points per game at home (115.5) than on the road (112.1). While the Mavericks are scoring 113.8 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark over their previous 10 games, amassing 121.9 a contest.

Dallas is the third-best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers made (15.1 per game) and ninth in 3-point percentage (37%). The Mavericks take 48.8% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 38% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they take 51.2% of their shots, with 62% of their makes coming from there.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Mavericks, and we project that Mavericks will cover the spread (Suns -0.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 234 points.

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You can bet on Suns vs. Mavericks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Suns vs. Mavericks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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