Mavericks vs Rockets Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, December 29, 2022

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The Dallas Mavericks (19-16) square off against the Houston Rockets (10-24) as 10-point favorites on Thursday, December 29, 2022 at 8:30 PM ET on BSSW. A 226-point over/under is installed for the matchup.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Rockets

Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing the Mavericks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Mavericks have -493 odds to pick up the win, while the Rockets are listed at +374 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 226 points.

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Mavericks vs. Rockets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, December 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSW
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Mavericks vs. Rockets Betting Trends

The Mavericks are 12-21-2 against the spread this year. Dallas has won 18, or 64.3%, of the 28 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Mavericks games this year have hit the over 58.8% of the time (20 out of 34 games with a set point total).

The Rockets have played 34 games, with 15 wins against the spread. Houston is 10-22 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 31.2% of those games). The Rockets have gone over the point total 50% of the time this season (17 of 34 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Doncic 32 33.6 8.7 8.8 1.7 0.6 2.9
Christian Wood 32 17.4 8 1.5 0.5 0.9 1.6
Spencer Dinwiddie 34 16.5 3.2 5.2 0.9 0.3 2.7
Tim Hardaway Jr. 33 13.5 3 1.7 0.8 0.2 2.8
Kemba Walker 6 10.8 2.7 2.8 0 0.3 1


Rockets Leaders
Jalen Green 34 21.6 4.4 3.6 0.8 0.2 2.3
Kevin Porter Jr. 33 19.3 5.5 5.7 1.4 0.4 2
Alperen Sengun 31 14.4 8.8 2.5 0.7 0.9 0.2
Jabari Smith Jr. 33 12.1 7.2 0.8 0.5 1 2
Eric Gordon 28 11.5 2 2.4 0.6 0.4 1.9
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Mavericks: Reggie Bullock: Questionable (Illness), Dorian Finney-Smith: Out (Adductor), Josh Green: Out (Elbow), Maxi Kleber: Out (Hamstring)

Rockets: Jae’Sean Tate: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas sports a top-five defense this season, ranking fifth-best in the league with 109.9 points allowed per game. Offensively, it ranks 19th with 111.8 points scored per contest. The Mavericks are averaging 113.2 points per game when playing at home. In road games, they are averaging 110.1 points per contest. The Mavericks have been putting up 112.7 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 111.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign.

Dallas ranks top-five this season in three-point shooting, ranking third-best in the league with 14.9 threes per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 14th with a 35.8% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Mavericks have taken 50% two-pointers and 50% threes this year. Of the team’s buckets, 61.7% are two-pointers and 38.3% are threes.

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What you need to know about the Houston Rockets

Offensively, Houston is the third-worst squad in the NBA (109.9 points per game). Defensively, it is 21st (115.7 points conceded per game). The Rockets score 110.3 points per game at home, and 109.6 away. While the Rockets are averaging 109.9 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 107.6 points per contest.

In 2022-23 Houston is 18th in the NBA in 3-point makes (11.5 per game) and third-worst in 3-point percentage (33.1%). In 2022-23, the Rockets have attempted 60.7% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 39.3% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 70.7% of the Rockets’ baskets have been 2-pointers, and 29.3% have been 3-pointers.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Mavericks, and we project that Mavericks will cover the spread (Mavericks -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 226 points.

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You can bet on Mavericks vs. Rockets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mavericks vs. Rockets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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