Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, January 7, 2023

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A contest pitting one of the NBA’s strongest defensive squads against one of the best offensive squads sees the Dallas Mavericks (22-17) battle the New Orleans Pelicans (24-15) at American Airlines Center on January 7, 2023. The Mavericks are fifth in points allowed per game (110.6), and the Pelicans are fifth in points scored (117.1). The Mavericks are favored by 9.5 points. The matchup has a 223.5 point total.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Pelicans

Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Mavericks as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Mavericks have -412 odds to pick up the win, while the Pelicans are listed at +321 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 223.5 points.

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSW
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Mavericks vs. Pelicans Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Mavericks are 13-24-2 this season. Dallas has won 21, or 67.7%, of the 31 contests in which it was the favorite this year. The Mavericks have hit the over in 56.4% of their opportunities this year (22 times over 39 games with a set point total).

The Pelicans are 20-19-0 against the spread this season. New Orleans has compiled a 7-8 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.7% of those games). Pelicans games this year have hit the over on 22 of 39 set point totals (56.4%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Mavericks

Mavericks Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 36 34 8.8 8.7 1.7 0.6 2.9
Christian Wood 36 17.6 8 1.6 0.5 1.1 1.8
Spencer Dinwiddie 38 16.2 3.1 5.1 0.8 0.2 2.6
Tim Hardaway Jr. 37 13.6 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.1 2.8
Dwight Powell 34 6.1 3.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0

Pelicans

Pelicans Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
CJ McCollum 35 20.4 4.8 6 1 0.6 2.9
Jonas Valančiūnas 39 13.5 9.6 1.7 0.4 0.5 0.6
Trey Murphy III 36 12.7 4 1.3 1 0.5 2.3
Herbert Jones 27 9.9 3.8 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.9
Naji Marshall 37 9.4 3.6 2.3 0.8 0.2 1.1
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Injury Report

Pelicans: Larry Nance: Out (Shoulder), CJ McCollum: Out (Rest), Jonas Valančiūnas: Probable (Hand), Zion Williamson: Out (Hamstring), EJ Liddell: Out (Knee), Brandon Ingram: Out (Toe)

What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas sports a top-five defense this season, ranking fifth-best in the league with 110.6 points allowed per game. On offense, it ranks 20th with 112.1 points scored per contest. In home games, the Mavericks are scoring 1.9 more points per game (113) than they are when playing on the road (111.1). In their last 10 games, the Mavericks have been putting up 113.2 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 112.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Dallas ranks third-best in the NBA by making 14.7 three-pointers per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 14th in the league at 35.6%. The Mavericks have taken 50.6% two-pointers and 49.4% from three-point land this season. Of the team’s buckets, 62.4% are two-pointers and 37.6% are threes.

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What you need to know about the New Orleans Pelicans

On offense, New Orleans is the fifth-best squad in the league (117.1 points per game). Defensively, it is 13th (112.7 points conceded per game). The Pelicans score 117 points per game at home, and 117.2 away. While the Pelicans are posting 117.1 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, tallying 116.5 points per contest.

At 11.4 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 36.9% from beyond the arc, New Orleans is 20th and 10th in the league, respectively, in those categories. The Pelicans take 65.2% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 34.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 73.1% of the Pelicans’ buckets are 2-pointers, and 26.9% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Mavericks, and we project that Pelicans will cover the spread (Mavericks -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 223.5 points.

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You can bet on Mavericks vs. Pelicans at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mavericks vs. Pelicans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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