Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, November 18, 2022

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The Dallas Mavericks (8-6) are favorites (-9) in their contest with the Denver Nuggets (9-5) at American Airlines Center on November 18, 2022, which will see two of the NBA’s biggest stars — the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic and the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic — on display. The over/under is set as 216 points in this contest.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with sportsbooks listing the Mavericks as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Mavericks have -398 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +315 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 216 points.

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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, November 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSW
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Mavericks vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The Mavericks have three wins against the spread in 14 games this season. Dallas has been chosen as the favorite in 13 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (61.5%) in those games. Mavericks games this year have gone over the total in eight out of 14 opportunities (57.1%).

The Nuggets have six wins against the spread in 14 games this year. Denver has been the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and it split the games. The Nuggets have hit the over 50% of the time this season (seven of 14 games with a set point total).

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Mavericks

Mavericks Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Dončić 13 34.4 8.8 7.8 2.1 0.6 2.3
Spencer Dinwiddie 14 17.6 3.4 5.1 1.3 0.1 3
Christian Wood 12 16.7 7.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.4
Tim Hardaway Jr. 13 12.1 2.1 2.2 0.8 0.2 2.3
Dorian Finney-Smith 14 9.1 4.2 0.6 0.9 0.5 1.9

Nuggets

Nuggets Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 13 20.8 9.5 8.9 1.5 0.6 0.6
Michael Porter Jr. 13 17 6.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 3.4
Jamal Murray 13 16.5 3.9 4.5 1 0.1 1.7
Nah’Shon Hyland 10 14.7 2.2 3.5 0.6 0.3 3.1
Aaron Gordon 13 14.5 6.8 2.5 0.5 0.9 0.8
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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Mavericks: JaVale McGee: Probable (Neck), Maxi Kleber: Out (Back)

Nuggets: Jamal Murray: Out (Health Protocols), Ish Smith: Doubtful (Calf), Aaron Gordon: Questionable (Illness), Nikola Jokic: Out (Health Protocols), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Although Dallas is putting up just 108.6 points per game (fourth-worst in NBA), its defense has been playing really well, as it ranks second-best in the league by ceding 106.3 points per game. Offensively the Mavericks have played better in home games this year, averaging 109.3 points per game, compared to 107.4 per game in away games.

This season, Dallas is making 13.5 treys per game (sixth-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 33.9% (23rd-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Mavericks are attempting 43.9 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 52.4% of the shots they’ve attempted (and 64.3% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 39.9 threes per contest, which are 47.6% of their shots (and 35.7% of the team’s buckets).

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

On offense Denver is the eighth-ranked squad in the league (116.1 points per game). Defensively it is 19th (114.1 points conceded per game). In 2022-23 the Nuggets are scoring 0.7 fewer points per game at home (115.6) than on the road (116.3).

Denver is seventh in the NBA in 3-pointers made (13.2 per game) and best in 3-point percentage (41.9%). The Nuggets attempt 36.3% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 63.7% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 30.4% of the Nuggets’ buckets are 3-pointers, and 69.6% are 2-pointers.

Mavericks vs. Nuggets Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this game is the Mavericks, and we predict that Nuggets will cover the spread (Mavericks -9). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 216 points.

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How to bet Mavericks vs. Nuggets

You can bet on Mavericks vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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