Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, November 20, 2022

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A game featuring two of the NBA’s biggest stars will see Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (9-6) host Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (9-6) on November 20, 2022 at American Airlines Center. The Mavericks are 10-point favorites. The over/under is set at 217.5 points for the matchup.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with bookmakers listing the Mavericks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Mavericks have -476 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +363 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 217.5 points.

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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSW
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Mavericks vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The Mavericks have played 15 games, with four wins against the spread. Dallas has been the favorite in 14 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (64.3%) in those contests. Mavericks games this year have gone over the point total 60% of the time (nine out of 15 games with a set point total).

In the Nuggets’ 15 games this year, they have six wins against the spread. Denver has put together a 1-2 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games). Nuggets games this season have gone over the total in eight of 15 opportunities (53.3%).

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Dončić 14 34.3 9.1 8.1 2 0.6 2.3
Christian Wood 13 17.5 7.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.5
Spencer Dinwiddie 15 17.5 3.3 4.9 1.3 0.1 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 14 12.1 2.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 2.4
Tyler Dorsey 1 9 2 0 0 0 1


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 13 20.8 9.5 8.9 1.5 0.6 0.6
Jamal Murray 13 16.5 3.9 4.5 1 0.1 1.7
Michael Porter Jr. 14 16.5 5.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 3.2
Nah’Shon Hyland 11 14.9 2.2 3.7 0.6 0.3 3.1
Aaron Gordon 13 14.5 6.8 2.5 0.5 0.9 0.8
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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Mavericks: Reggie Bullock: Probable (Neck), Maxi Kleber: Out (Back)

Nuggets: Ish Smith: Questionable (Calf), Jamal Murray: Out (Health Protocols), Aaron Gordon: Questionable (Illness), Nikola Jokic: Out (Health Protocols), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas has a top-five defense this season, ranking second-best in the league with 105.8 points allowed per game. On offense, it ranks 22nd with 109.9 points scored per contest. The Mavericks score 111.1 points per game when playing at home, compared to 107.4 points per game in away games, a difference of 3.7 points per contest. The Mavericks’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 105.5 points a contest compared to the 109.9 they’ve averaged this season.

This year, Dallas is sinking 13.5 three-pointers per game (sixth-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 34.2% (21st-ranked) from three-point land. This year, the Mavericks have taken 52.8% two-pointers, accounting for 64.9% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 47.2% three-pointers (35.1% of the team’s baskets).

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver is 11th in the league in points scored (114.9 per game) and 20th in points allowed (115). In 2022-23 the Nuggets are averaging one more points per game at home (115.6) than away (114.6). The Nuggets are posting 115.2 points per game in their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 114.9.

In 2022-23 Denver is eighth in the NBA in 3-point makes (13 per game) and best in 3-point percentage (41.3%). The Nuggets take 36.1% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 63.9% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 30.1% of the Nuggets’ baskets are 3-pointers, and 69.9% are 2-pointers.

Mavericks vs. Nuggets Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Mavericks, and we predict that Nuggets will cover the spread (Mavericks -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 217.5 points.

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How to bet Mavericks vs. Nuggets

You can bet on Mavericks vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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