Lakers vs Warriors Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Western Conference Semifinals Game 4

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The Los Angeles Lakers head into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors as 2.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Monday tips at 10:00 PM ET on TNT from Arena. The Lakers lead the series 2-1. A 228-point over/under is set for the matchup.

How to bet Lakers vs. Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Lakers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Lakers have -138 odds to pick up the win, while the Warriors are listed at +117 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 228 points.

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Lakers vs. Warriors Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, May 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Arena: Arena

Lakers vs. Warriors Betting Trends

The Lakers are 40-39-3 against the spread this season. Los Angeles has been the favorite in 31 games this season and has come away with the win 20 times (64.5%) in those contests. Lakers games this year have gone over the total in 43 out of 82 opportunities (52.4%).

The Warriors are 39-42-1 against the spread this season. Golden State has gone 7-17 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 29.2% of those games). Warriors games this season have hit the over on 45 of 82 set point totals (54.9%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Lakers Leaders
LeBron James 55 28.9 8.3 6.8 0.9 0.6 2.2
Anthony Davis 56 25.9 12.5 2.6 1.1 2 0.3
D’Angelo Russell 71 17.8 3 6.2 1 0.4 2.7
Austin Reaves 64 13 3 3.4 0.5 0.3 1.3
Malik Beasley 81 12.7 3.5 1.5 0.8 0.1 2.9


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 56 29.4 6.1 6.3 0.9 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 69 21.9 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.4
Jordan Poole 82 20.4 2.7 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.6
Andrew Wiggins 37 17.1 5 2.3 1.2 0.8 2.4
Jonathan Kuminga 67 9.9 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8
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Lakers vs. Warriors Injury Report

Warriors: Ryan Rollins: Out (Foot), Andre Iguodala: Out (Wrist), Patrick Baldwin Jr.: Out (Toe)

What you need to know about the Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles ranks sixth in the NBA with 117.2 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, it ranks 20th with 116.6 points allowed per contest. Offensively the Lakers have been worse at home this year, putting up 117 points per game, compared to 117.3 per game on the road. The Lakers have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 114.5 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.7 points fewer than the 117.2 they’ve scored this season.

Los Angeles is making 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th-ranked in league). It sports a 34.6% shooting percentage (24th-ranked) from three-point land. When it comes to shot breakdown, the Lakers have taken 65% two-pointers (accounting for 74.8% of the team’s buckets) and 35% threes (25.2%).

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What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State is the second-best squad in the NBA in points scored (118.9 per game) and 21st in points conceded (117.1). In 2022-23 the Warriors are averaging 1.5 more points per game at home (119.7) than away (118.2). While the Warriors are putting up 118.9 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, producing 114.7 points per contest.

Beyond the arc, Golden State is best in the league in 3-pointers made per game at 16.6. And it is second-best in 3-point percentage at 38.5%. In 2022-23, the Warriors have taken 47.9% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 52.1% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 38.5% of the Warriors’ baskets have been 3-pointers, and 61.5% have been 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Lakers, and we project that Lakers will cover the spread (Lakers -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 228 points.

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You can bet on Lakers vs. Warriors at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Lakers vs. Warriors picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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