Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Western Conference Finals Game 4

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The Denver Nuggets (53-29) are aiming to overcome the odds as slight 3.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals, and will face off against the Los Angeles Lakers at Arena on Monday, tipping off at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Nuggets have a 3-0 lead in the series. The over/under is set as 226.5 points for this contest.

How to bet Lakers vs. Nuggets

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Lakers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Lakers have -162 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +137 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 226.5 points.

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Lakers vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, May 22, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Arena: Arena

Lakers vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The Lakers are 40-39-3 against the spread this year. Los Angeles has been chosen as the favorite in 31 games this year and has walked away with the win 20 times (64.5%) in those games. Lakers games this year have hit the over on 43 of 82 set point totals.

The Nuggets have played 82 games, with 44 wins against the spread. Denver has been the moneyline underdog 21 total times this season. Denver has gone 10-11 in those games. The Nuggets have gone over the point total 45.1% of the time this season (37 of 82 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Lakers Leaders
LeBron James 55 28.9 8.3 6.8 0.9 0.6 2.2
Anthony Davis 56 25.9 12.5 2.6 1.1 2 0.3
D’Angelo Russell 71 17.8 3 6.2 1 0.4 2.7
Austin Reaves 64 13 3 3.4 0.5 0.3 1.3
Malik Beasley 81 12.7 3.5 1.5 0.8 0.1 2.9


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 69 24.5 11.8 9.8 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 65 20 4 6.2 1 0.2 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 62 17.4 5.5 1 0.6 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 68 16.3 6.6 3 0.8 0.8 0.9
Bruce Brown 80 11.5 4.1 3.4 1.1 0.6 1.1
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Lakers vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Nuggets: None

What you need to know about the Los Angeles Lakers

With 117.2 points per game on offense, Los Angeles is sixth in the NBA. On defense, it surrenders 116.6 points per contest, which ranks 20th in the league. Offensively the Lakers have been worse at home this year, putting up 117 points per game, compared to 117.3 per game on the road. On the offensive side of the ball, the Lakers have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 113.8 points per contest over that span compared to the 117.2 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.

So far this year, Los Angeles is draining 10.8 threes per game (24th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 34.6% (24th-ranked) from downtown. When it comes to shot breakdown, the Lakers have taken 65% two-pointers (accounting for 74.8% of the team’s buckets) and 35% three-pointers (25.2%).

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What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver scores 115.8 points per game and give up 112.5, making them 12th in the league on offense and eighth defensively. At home, the Nuggets average 119.4 points per game. Away, they average 112.2. The Nuggets are averaging 117.4 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 1.6 more than their average for the season (115.8).

Denver is 18th in the league in 3-pointers made (11.8 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (37.9%). The Nuggets take 36.1% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 27.1% of their made baskets are from there. Inside the 3-point line, they attempt 63.9% of their shots, with 72.9% of their makes coming from there.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Lakers vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Lakers vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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