Knicks vs Heat Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 5

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The Miami Heat lead 3-1 going into a deciding Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Knicks are 3.5-point favorites for the game, which goes live on TNT at 7:30 PM ET. The over/under for the matchup is 209.5 points.

How to bet Knicks vs. Heat

New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Knicks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Knicks have -163 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +138 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 209.5 points.

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Knicks vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Knicks vs. Heat Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Knicks are 45-35-2 this season. New York has come away with 27 wins in the 41 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season. Knicks games this year have hit the over on 44 of 82 set point totals.

In the Heat’s 82 games this season, they have 30 wins against the spread. Miami has been the moneyline underdog 24 total times this season. Miami has finished 8-16 in those games. Heat games this season have hit the over on 40 of 82 set point totals (48.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Knicks Leaders
Julius Randle 77 25.1 10 4.1 0.6 0.3 2.8
Jalen Brunson 68 24 3.5 6.2 0.9 0.2 2
RJ Barrett 73 19.6 5 2.8 0.4 0.2 1.7
Immanuel Quickley 81 14.9 4.2 3.4 1 0.2 2.1
Quentin Grimes 71 11.3 3.2 2.1 0.7 0.4 2.2


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 75 20.4 9.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Max Strus 80 11.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 55 11.2 4.1 5.1 1 0.4 1.9
Caleb Martin 71 9.6 4.8 1.6 1 0.4 1.2
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Knicks: Immanuel Quickley: Doubtful (Ankle), Jericho Sims: Out (Shoulder)

Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Jimmy Butler: Questionable (Ankle), Haywood Highsmith: Probable (Knee), Caleb Martin: Questionable (Back), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand)

What you need to know about the New York Knicks

Offensively, New York is putting up 116 points per game (11th-ranked in league). It is surrendering 113.1 points per contest at the other end of the court (12th-ranked). When playing at home, the Knicks are putting up 2.5 more points per game (117.3) than they are in road games (114.8). In their last 10 games, the Knicks have been putting up 103.3 points per game, an average that’s significantly lower than the 116 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

New York is draining 12.6 treys per game (11th-ranked in NBA) this season, while sporting a 35.4% three-point percentage (19th-ranked). Of the shots attempted by the Knicks in 2022-23, 60% of them have been two-pointers (69.9% of the team’s made baskets) and 40% have been from beyond three-point land (30.1%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

On offense Miami is the worst squad in the NBA (109.5 points per game). However defensively it is second-best (109.8 points conceded per game). In 2022-23 the Heat are averaging 3.9 more points per game at home (111.4) than away (107.5). Over their last 10 games, the Heat are scoring 117 points per game, 7.5 more than their season average (109.5).

Beyond the arc, Miami is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12). It is fourth-worst in 3-point percentage at 34.4%. The Heat attempt 59.2% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 40.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 69.5% of the Heat’s baskets are 2-pointers, and 30.5% are 3-pointers.

Knicks vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Knicks vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Knicks vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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