Knicks vs Heat Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 1

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The New York Knicks come into Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat as 5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Sunday starts at 1:00 PM ET on ABC from Madison Square Garden. The over/under is 209 points in the outing.

How to bet Knicks vs. Heat

New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Knicks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Knicks have -203 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +169 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 209 points.

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Knicks vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Knicks vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Knicks are 45-35-2 against the spread this year. New York has been chosen as the favorite in 41 games this year and has walked away with the win 27 times (65.9%) in those games. The Knicks have gone over the point total in 53.7% of their opportunities this year (44 times in 82 games with a set point total).

In the Heat’s 82 games this season, they have 30 wins against the spread. Miami has won 33.3% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (8-16). The Heat have gone over the point total 48.8% of the time this season (40 of 82 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Knicks Leaders
Julius Randle 77 25.1 10 4.1 0.6 0.3 2.8
Jalen Brunson 68 24 3.5 6.2 0.9 0.2 2
RJ Barrett 73 19.6 5 2.8 0.4 0.2 1.7
Immanuel Quickley 81 14.9 4.2 3.4 1 0.2 2.1
Quentin Grimes 71 11.3 3.2 2.1 0.7 0.4 2.2


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 75 20.4 9.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Max Strus 80 11.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 55 11.2 4.1 5.1 1 0.4 1.9
Caleb Martin 71 9.6 4.8 1.6 1 0.4 1.2
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Knicks: Julius Randle: Questionable (Ankle), Quentin Grimes: Questionable (Shoulder), Jericho Sims: Out (Shoulder)

Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Bam Adebayo: Probable (Hamstring), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand)

What you need to know about the New York Knicks

New York is scoring 116 points per game (11th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 113.1 points per contest (12th-ranked). The Knicks put up 117.3 points per game in home games, compared to 114.8 points per game in away games, a difference of 2.5 points per contest. On offense, the Knicks have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 112.5 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 116 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.

New York is sinking 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th-ranked in league). It sports a 35.4% shooting percentage (19th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Knicks are attempting 53.6 two-pointers per game this season, which account for 60% of the shots they’ve taken (and 69.9% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 35.7 treys per contest, which are 40% of their shots (and 30.1% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami is the worst squad in the NBA in points scored (109.5 per game) but second-best in points allowed (109.8). The Heat are scoring more points at home (111.4 per game) than away (107.5). Over their last 10 games, the Heat are putting up 122.7 points per contest, 13.2 more than their season average (109.5).

In 2022-23 Miami is 16th in the league in 3-point makes (12 per game) and fourth-worst in 3-point percentage (34.4%). The Heat attempt 40.8% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 30.5% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they attempt 59.2% of their shots, with 69.5% of their makes coming from there.

Our prediction to win this game is the Knicks, and we predict that Knicks will cover the spread (Knicks -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 209 points.

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You can bet on Knicks vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Knicks vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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