Kings vs Timberwolves Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Sacramento Kings (37-25) are 4.5-point favorites against the Minnesota Timberwolves (33-32) on March 4, 2023 at Golden 1 Center. The Kings are on a roll, having won five in a row while going 8-2 during their past 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is 237.5 points.

How to bet Kings vs. Timberwolves

Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Kings as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Kings have -180 odds to pick up the win, while the Timberwolves are listed at +152 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 237.5 points.

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Kings vs. Timberwolves Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Sacramento, California
  • Arena: Golden 1 Center

Kings vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

In the Kings’ 62 games this season, they have 34 wins against the spread. Sacramento has been chosen as the favorite in 39 games this year and has walked away with the win 27 times (69.2%) in those games. Kings games this year have eclipsed the over/under 47.7% of the time (31 out of 65 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 30-33-2 this season. Minnesota has won 16 of the 33 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (48.5%). The Timberwolves have eclipsed the over/under 43.1% of the time this season (28 of 65 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 56 25.5 4.3 6.3 1.1 0.3 1.6
Domantas Sabonis 60 18.9 12.3 7.0 0.9 0.5 0.4
Harrison Barnes 62 15.0 4.7 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.6
Kevin Huerter 59 14.7 3.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.6
Malik Monk 59 13.7 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.2 1.7


Timberwolves Leaders
Anthony Edwards 65 24.6 5.9 4.5 1.7 0.7 2.7
Rudy Gobert 53 13.6 11.5 0.9 0.8 1.4 0.0
Jaden McDaniels 62 11.5 3.9 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.3
Jaylen Nowell 62 10.9 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.1
Naz Reid 57 10.7 5.0 1.1 0.6 0.9 1.1
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Kings: Richaun Holmes: Out (Illness), KZ Okpala: Out (Knee)

Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Calf), Jaylen Nowell: Questionable (Knee)

What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

Although Sacramento is giving up 118.2 points per game (fourth-worst in NBA) on defense, its offense has been excellent, as it ranks best in the league by putting up 120.9 points per game. The Kings are scoring 124.0 points per game this year in home games, which is 6.3 more points than they’re averaging on the road (117.7). The Kings have seen an increase in scoring lately, racking up 131.0 points per game in their last 10 contests, 10.1 points more than the 120.9 they’ve scored this season.

Sacramento ranks seventh in the NBA with 13.4 three-pointers per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 10th with a 36.7% shooting percentage from three-point land. Of the shots taken by the Kings in 2022-23, 58.4% of them have been two-pointers (69.3% of the team’s made baskets) and 41.6% have been threes (30.7%).

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

Offensively Minnesota is the 10th-ranked squad in the league (115.3 points per game). Defensively it is 18th (115.3 points allowed per game). In 2022-23 the Timberwolves are averaging 3.8 more points per game at home (117.1) than on the road (113.3). In their last 10 games, the Timberwolves are scoring 115.5 points per contest, 0.2 more than their season average (115.3).

At 12.0 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.7% from downtown, Minnesota is 16th and 18th in the league, respectively, in those categories. The Timberwolves attempt 38.5% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 28% of their made shots are from there. Inside the 3-point line, they take 61.5% of their shots, with 72% of their makes coming from there.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Kings, and we expect that Kings will cover the spread (Kings -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 237.5 points.

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You can bet on Kings vs. Timberwolves at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kings vs. Timberwolves picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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