Kings vs Thunder Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, February 26, 2023

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The Sacramento Kings (34-25) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (28-31) on February 26, 2023 at Paycom Center, where the Kings are four-point favorites in a contest featuring two of the highest-scoring teams in the NBA. The Kings are first (120.6 ppg), and the Thunder are fourth (117.9). The matchup’s point total is 239.5.

How to bet Kings vs. Thunder

Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing the Kings as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Kings have -168 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +143 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 239.5 points.

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Kings vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, February 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

Kings vs. Thunder Betting Trends

The Kings are 32-26-1 against the spread this year. Sacramento has been victorious in 24, or 66.7%, of the 36 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Kings games this year have gone over the point total 49.2% of the time (29 out of 59 games with a set point total).

The Thunder have played 59 games, with 37 wins against the spread. Oklahoma City has won 46.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (19-22). Thunder games this year have hit the over 54.2% of the time (32 out of 59 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 54 25.3 4.3 6.2 1.1 0.3 1.6
Domantas Sabonis 57 18.8 12.3 6.9 0.9 0.5 0.4
Kevin Huerter 56 14.8 3.4 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.6
Harrison Barnes 59 14.8 4.6 1.6 0.8 0.1 1.6
Malik Monk 56 14 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.2 1.7


Thunder Leaders
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 54 31 4.7 5.7 1.6 1.1 0.9
Josh Giddey 54 16.1 7.7 5.8 0.8 0.5 0.9
Luguentz Dort 52 14 4.4 2.3 1 0.3 1.8
Jalen Williams 55 12.3 4.2 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.9
Isaiah Joe 49 9 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.3
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Kings vs. Thunder Injury Report

Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Questionable (Ankle), Aleksej Pokusevski: Out (Leg)

What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

Sacramento is allowing 118.1 points per game this year (24th-ranked in NBA), but it has really shined on offense, scoring 120.6 points per game (best). The Kings average 123.9 points per game when playing at home, compared to 117.3 points per game away from home, a difference of 6.6 points per contest. In their last 10 games, the Kings have been putting up 126.2 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 120.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

With 13.3 threes per game, Sacramento is seventh in the NBA. It owns a 36.7% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks ninth in the league. The Kings are attempting 51.4 two-pointers per game this season, which account for 58.6% of the shots they’ve taken (and 69.4% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 36.3 three-pointers per contest, which are 41.4% of their shots (and 30.6% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City is the fourth-best team in the NBA in points scored (117.9 per game) and 20th in points allowed (116.4). In 2022-23 the Thunder are scoring 4.8 more points per game at home (120.3) than away (115.5). The Thunder are putting up 123.1 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 5.2 more than their average for the season (117.9).

Beyond the arc, Oklahoma City is 13th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.2). It is 12th in 3-point percentage at 36.2%. The Thunder take 63.8% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 36.2% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 72.1% of the Thunder’s baskets are 2-pointers, and 27.9% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Thunder, and we expect that Thunder will cover the spread (Kings -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 239.5 points.

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You can bet on Kings vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kings vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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