Kings vs Thunder Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Tuesday, February 28, 2023

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The Sacramento Kings (35-25) are three-point favorites against the Oklahoma City Thunder (28-32) on February 28, 2023 at Paycom Center in a contest featuring a pair of the highest-scoring teams in the NBA. The Kings are first (120.7 ppg) and the Thunder are third (117.8). The matchup has a 234.5 point total.

How to bet Kings vs. Thunder

Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Kings as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Kings have -156 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +133 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 234.5 points.

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Kings vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, February 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

Kings vs. Thunder Betting Trends

The Kings have played 60 games, with 33 wins against the spread. Sacramento has been chosen as the favorite in 37 games this year and has walked away with the win 25 times (67.6%) in those games. Kings games this year have gone over the total in 29 out of 60 opportunities (48.3%).

The Thunder have played 60 games, with 37 wins against the spread. Oklahoma City has put together a 19-23 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 45.2% of those games). Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 32 of 60 opportunities (53.3%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 55 25.4 4.3 6.3 1.1 0.3 1.6
Domantas Sabonis 58 18.7 12.4 6.9 0.9 0.4 0.4
Harrison Barnes 60 14.7 4.6 1.6 0.8 0.1 1.6
Kevin Huerter 57 14.6 3.4 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.6
Malik Monk 57 14 2.6 3.8 0.6 0.2 1.8


Thunder Leaders
Josh Giddey 55 16.2 7.7 5.8 0.8 0.5 0.9
Luguentz Dort 53 14.1 4.4 2.2 1 0.3 1.9
Jalen Williams 56 12.4 4.2 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.9
Isaiah Joe 50 9.3 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.3
Kenrich Williams 52 8 4.9 2 0.8 0.3 1
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Kings: De’Aaron Fox: Questionable (Wrist), KZ Okpala: Out (Knee)

Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Ankle), Aleksej Pokusevski: Out (Leg)

What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

Sacramento is ceding 118.1 points per game this year (25th-ranked in NBA), but it has really played well on offense, scoring 120.7 points per contest (best). The Kings are averaging 123.9 points per game this year in home games, which is 6.4 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (117.5). The Kings’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 126.7 points per contest compared to the 120.7 they’ve averaged this season.

So far this year, Sacramento is sinking 13.4 threes per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 36.8% (ninth-ranked) from three-point land. When it comes to shot breakdown, the Kings have taken 58.5% two-pointers (accounting for 69.2% of the team’s baskets) and 41.5% from beyond the arc (30.8%).

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What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City is the third-best squad in the NBA in points scored (117.8 per game) and 20th in points conceded (116.6). The Thunder are putting up more points at home (120.2 per game) than away (115.5). The Thunder are putting up 122.6 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 4.8 more than their average for the season (117.8).

Oklahoma City makes 12.2 3-pointers per game and shoots 36.3% from beyond the arc, ranking 13th and 13th, respectively, in the NBA. In 2022-23, the Thunder have taken 36.3% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 63.7% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 28.1% of the Thunder’s buckets have been 3-pointers, and 71.9% have been 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this game is the Thunder, and we predict that Thunder will cover the spread (Kings -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 234.5 points.

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You can bet on Kings vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kings vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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