Heat vs Timberwolves Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Monday, December 26, 2022

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The Miami Heat (16-17) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (16-17) at FTX Arena, starting at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, December 26, 2022. The Heat are just 1.5-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the squads this season. The matchup’s point total is set at 221.5.

How to bet Heat vs. Timberwolves

Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Timberwolves are listed at +105 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 221.5 points.

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Heat vs. Timberwolves Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, December 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Heat are 10-21-2 this year. Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 24 games this year and has walked away with the win 14 times (58.3%) in those games. Heat games this year have hit the over on 15 of 33 set point totals.

Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 13-20-0 this season. Minnesota has won 33.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (5-10). The Timberwolves have eclipsed the over/under 42.4% of the time this year (14 of 33 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 21 21.8 6.8 5.8 1.9 0.4 0.8
Tyler Herro 25 21.4 6 4.2 0.9 0.4 3.4
Bam Adebayo 30 20.8 9.8 3.4 0.9 0.6 0
Kyle Lowry 29 14.3 4.8 5.9 1.1 0.5 2.4
Max Strus 31 12.9 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 2.6


Timberwolves Leaders
Anthony Edwards 33 23.2 6 4.5 1.8 0.5 2.5
D’Angelo Russell 31 16.6 3.3 6.5 1.1 0.5 2.3
Rudy Gobert 28 14 12.3 0.9 0.9 1.2 0
Jaylen Nowell 33 11.5 2.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 1.2
Jaden McDaniels 30 11.1 3.5 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.2
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Heat: Caleb Martin: Probable (Ankle), Gabe Vincent: Questionable (Knee), Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Shoulder), Udonis Haslem: Questionable (Achilles), Jimmy Butler: Questionable (Ankle), Dewayne Dedmon: Out (Foot), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)

Timberwolves: Jordan McLaughlin: Out (Calf), Taurean Prince: Out (Shoulder), Kyle Anderson: Questionable (Back), Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Calf), Eric Paschall: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami has been forced to rely on its defense, which ranks fourth-best in the NBA (109.2 points allowed per game), as it ranks second-worst in the league on offense with just 108 points per contest. Offensively the Heat have fared better in home games this season, posting 109.7 points per game, compared to 106.1 per game in away games. The Heat have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 104.5 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.5 points fewer than the 108 they’ve scored this season.

Miami is making 12.5 three-pointers per game (11th-ranked in NBA) this season, while owning a 34.4% three-point percentage (21st-ranked). Of the shots taken by the Heat in 2022-23, 57.8% of them have been two-pointers (67.9% of the team’s made baskets) and 42.2% have been three-pointers (32.1%).

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

In 2022-23, Minnesota is 11th in the league offensively (114.8 points scored per game) and 22nd on defense (115.7 points allowed). In 2022-23 the Timberwolves are averaging 4.6 more points per game at home (117) than on the road (112.4). In their last 10 games, the Timberwolves are averaging 114.3 points per game, 0.5 fewer points than their season average (114.8).

Minnesota makes 11.1 3-pointers per game and shoots 34.1% from beyond the arc, ranking 23rd and 24th, respectively, in the NBA. In 2022-23, the Timberwolves have attempted 62.7% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 37.3% percent from beyond it. In terms of made shots, 74% of the Timberwolves’ buckets have been 2-pointers, and 26% have been 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Heat, and we expect that Heat will cover the spread (Heat -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 221.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Timberwolves at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Timberwolves picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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