Heat vs Thunder Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Wednesday, December 14, 2022

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The Miami Heat (13-15) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-16) at Paycom Center, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, December 14, 2022. The Heat are just 2.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 223.

How to bet Heat vs. Thunder

Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -139 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +118 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 223 points.

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Heat vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSO
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

Heat vs. Thunder Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Heat are 9-18-1 this season. Miami has won 11, or 57.9%, of the 19 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Heat games this year have gone over the total in 14 out of 27 opportunities (51.9%).

The Thunder are 16-11-0 against the spread this year. Oklahoma City has won nine of the 21 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (42.9%). Thunder games this season have hit the over 16 times in 27 opportunities (59.3%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Bam Adebayo 26 20.8 9.5 3.3 1 0.7 0
Tyler Herro 20 19.5 6.5 4.3 0.9 0.5 2.8
Kyle Lowry 27 14 4.8 5.9 1.2 0.6 2.3
Max Strus 26 13.7 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 2.8
Caleb Martin 27 11.3 4.8 1.9 1.2 0.4 1.6


Thunder Leaders
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 25 31.2 4.5 5.8 1.8 1 1
Josh Giddey 24 14.7 7.8 5.4 0.7 0.5 1
Luguentz Dort 26 13.8 4.6 2.3 1.1 0.3 1.7
Jalen Williams 23 10.9 3.1 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.7
Aleksej Pokusevski 24 9.2 5.4 1.9 0.5 1.5 1.3
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Heat vs. Thunder Injury Report

Thunder: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl: Out (Ankle), Kenrich Williams: Out (Knee), Chet Holmgren: Out (Foot)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this season, ranking second-worst in the NBA with 107.9 points per game, it has had to rely on its defense, which ranks fifth-best in the league by allowing 109.3 points per game. In home games, the Heat are scoring 5.2 more points per game (110.3) than they are away from home (105.1). The Heat have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 107.2 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.7 points fewer than the 107.9 they’ve scored this season.

Miami is draining 11.9 treys per game (13th-ranked in NBA) this season, while putting up a 33.7% three-point percentage (24th-ranked). Of the shots taken by the Heat in 2022-23, 59% of them have been two-pointers (69.3% of the team’s made baskets) and 41% have been threes (30.7%).

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What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

Offensively Oklahoma City is the sixth-ranked squad in the league (115.8 points per game). On defense it is second-worst (117.7 points allowed per game). In 2022-23 the Thunder are averaging 5.4 more points per game at home (119) than away (113.6). The Thunder have played worse offensively over their past 10 games, putting up 114.8 points per contest, one fewer point their than season average of 115.8.

With 11.5 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34% from downtown, Oklahoma City is 19th and 20th in the league, respectively, in those categories. In 2022-23, the Thunder have attempted 63.9% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 36.1% percent from beyond it. In terms of made shots, 73.4% of the Thunder’s buckets have been 2-pointers, and 26.6% have been 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this game is the Thunder, and we project that Thunder will cover the spread (Heat -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 223 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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