Heat vs Rockets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, February 10, 2023

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The Miami Heat (30-25) and the Houston Rockets (13-42) play at FTX Arena in a game on Friday, February 10, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET on BSSU. The Heat are 12-point favorites in the game. The point total for the game is set at 220.

How to bet Heat vs. Rockets

Miami Heat vs. Houston Rockets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 12 points, with oddsmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -698 odds to pick up the win, while the Rockets are listed at +492 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 220 points.

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Heat vs. Rockets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, February 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Rockets Betting Trends

The Heat have 20 wins against the spread in 55 games this year. Miami has been the favorite in 39 games this season and has come away with the win 25 times (64.1%) in those contests. Heat games this year have hit the over 24 times in 55 opportunities (43.6%).

In the Rockets’ 55 games this year, they have 21 wins against the spread. Houston is 13-40 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 24.5% of those games). Rockets games this year have gone over the total in 27 of 55 opportunities (49.1%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 40 22 6 5 2.1 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 50 21.8 10 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 43 20.3 5.7 4.4 0.9 0.3 3
Max Strus 53 12.3 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.2 2.5
Caleb Martin 45 10.2 5.1 1.7 1 0.4 1.4


Rockets Leaders
Jalen Green 51 22 4 3.6 0.7 0.2 2.6
Alperen Sengun 50 15.4 8.8 3.8 0.8 1 0.2
Jabari Smith Jr. 52 11.8 6.9 1.2 0.5 1 1.6
Kenyon Martin Jr. 55 11.6 5.5 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.9
Tari Eason 55 8.7 5.7 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.7
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Heat vs. Rockets Injury Report

Rockets: Frank Kaminsky: Out (Trade Pending), Danny Green: Out (Trade Pending), Justin Holiday: Out (Trade Pending), John Wall: Out (Abdominal), Kevin Porter: Out (Foot)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami has had to count on its defense, which ranks second-best in the NBA (108.4 points allowed per game), as it ranks worst in the league on offense with only 108.6 points per contest. The Heat are posting 109.1 points per game at home. In road games, they are averaging 108.2 points per contest. The Heat have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 107.4 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.2 points fewer than the 108.6 they’ve scored this season.

Miami, who is 18th in the league with 11.7 made threes per game, is shooting just 33.5% from downtown, which is fourth-worst in the NBA. Of the shots taken by the Heat in 2022-23, 59.8% of them have been two-pointers (70.3% of the team’s made baskets) and 40.2% have been three-pointers (29.7%).

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What you need to know about the Houston Rockets

Houston is the second-worst squad in the NBA in points scored (110.4 per game) and 25th in points allowed (118.2). At home the Rockets are putting up 109.8 points per game, 1.2 fewer points than they are averaging away (111). The Rockets are averaging 113 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 2.6 more than their average for the season (110.4).

Beyond the arc, Houston is 22nd in the league in 3-pointers made per game (11). It is second-worst in 3-point percentage at 33%. The Rockets attempt 37.9% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 27.5% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they take 62.1% of their shots, with 72.5% of their makes coming from there.

Our pick to win this game is the Heat, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Heat -12). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 220 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Rockets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Rockets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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