Heat vs Pistons Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

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The Miami Heat (41-37) are 13.5-point favorites against the Detroit Pistons (16-62) on April 4, 2023 at Little Caesars Arena. The Pistons are struggling right now, having lost nine in a row and going 1-9 during their past 10 games. The matchup has a 218 point total.

How to bet Heat vs. Pistons

Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -943 odds to pick up the win, while the Pistons are listed at +629 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 218 points.

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Heat vs. Pistons Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSDE
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Arena: Little Caesars Arena

Heat vs. Pistons Betting Trends

The Heat are 28-46-4 against the spread this year. Miami has been victorious in 34, or 61.8%, of the 55 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Heat games this year have hit the over on 36 of 78 set point totals.

The Pistons are 34-43-1 against the spread this year. Detroit is 14-60 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 18.9% of those games). Pistons games this season have hit the over on 39 of 78 set point totals (50%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 62 22.8 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 72 20.7 9.3 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 64 20.3 5.5 4.2 0.8 0.3 3.1
Max Strus 76 11.7 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 2.5
Kyle Lowry 52 11.4 4.2 5.1 1.1 0.4 2


Pistons Leaders
Jaden Ivey 70 15.8 3.9 5.1 0.8 0.2 1.6
Killian Hayes 72 10 2.8 6.2 1.4 0.3 1
James Wiseman 41 9.9 5.9 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.1
Jalen Duren 63 8.9 8.7 1.1 0.7 0.9 0
Kemba Walker 9 8 1.8 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.8
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Heat: Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Hip), Kyle Lowry: Questionable (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back)

Pistons: Bojan Bogdanovic: Out (Achilles), Rodney McGruder: Out (Illness), Hamidou Diallo: Out (Ankle), Alec Burks: Out (Foot), Marvin Bagley: Out (Concussion), Isaiah Stewart: Out (Hip), Cade Cunningham: Out (Shin)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Although Miami is scoring just 109 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been giving them a nice lift, as it ranks second-best in the league by surrendering 109.9 points per game. The Heat are putting up 111.2 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 106.7 points per contest. The Heat’s offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 112.2 points per contest compared to the 109 they’ve averaged this season.

Miami ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with a 34.1% shooting percentage from three-point land. Meanwhile, it is making 11.7 treys per game (18th-ranked in league). This season, the Heat have taken 59.6% two-pointers, accounting for 69.8% of the team’s baskets. They have shot 40.4% from three-point land (30.2% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Detroit Pistons

In 2022-23, Detroit is third-worst in the league offensively (110.6 points scored per game) and fourth-worst on defense (118.7 points conceded). At home the Pistons are scoring 112.6 points per game, four more than they are averaging away (108.6). While the Pistons are scoring 110.6 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, producing 105.8 points per contest.

Beyond the arc, Detroit is 20th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (11.4). It is 23rd in 3-point percentage at 35%. The Pistons take 62.7% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 37.3% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 71.3% of the Pistons’ baskets are 2-pointers, and 28.7% are 3-pointers.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Heat, and we predict that Pistons will cover the spread (Heat -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 218 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Pistons at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Pistons picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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