Heat vs Pistons Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 19, 2023

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A matchup featuring a struggling NBA squad will see the Detroit Pistons (16-55) play the Miami Heat (38-34) at Little Caesars Arena on March 19, 2023. The Pistons have lost two in a row and are 1-9 over their last 10 games. They enter this matchup as 10-point underdogs. A 217.5-point over/under is set for the matchup.

How to bet Heat vs. Pistons

Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with oddsmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -477 odds to pick up the win, while the Pistons are listed at +365 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 217.5 points.

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Heat vs. Pistons Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSDE
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Arena: Little Caesars Arena

Heat vs. Pistons Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Heat are 25-43-4 this year. Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 52 games this year and has walked away with the win 32 times (61.5%) in those games. Heat games this year have gone over the total in 33 out of 71 opportunities (46.5%).

The Pistons are 31-39-1 against the spread this season. Detroit has compiled a 14-53 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20.9% of those games). Pistons games this year have gone over the point total 50.7% of the time (36 out of 71 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 57 22.6 6.1 5 1.9 0.4 0.5
Bam Adebayo 67 21 9.3 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 58 20.2 5.7 4.3 0.8 0.3 3
Max Strus 70 11.8 3.4 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Caleb Martin 61 10.1 4.9 1.6 1 0.5 1.3


Pistons Leaders
Jaden Ivey 63 15.4 3.9 4.9 0.9 0.3 1.4
Marvin Bagley III 33 11.3 6.7 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.3
Killian Hayes 65 9.6 2.7 6.1 1.4 0.4 1
James Wiseman 34 9.3 5.6 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.1
Jalen Duren 57 8.8 8.9 1.1 0.6 0.9 0
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Heat: Cody Zeller: Out (Nose), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee)

Pistons: Bojan Bogdanovic: Out (Achilles), Hamidou Diallo: Out (Ankle), Alec Burks: Out (Foot), Isaiah Stewart: Out (Hip), Cade Cunningham: Out (Shin), Isaiah Livers: Questionable (Hip)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Although Miami is scoring just 109 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been giving them a nice lift, as it ranks second-best in the league by giving up 109.7 points per game. The Heat are averaging 110.5 points per game when playing at home. In road games, they are averaging 107.3 points per contest. The Heat have seen an increase in scoring lately, racking up 115.2 points per game in their last 10 outings, 6.2 points more than the 109 they’ve scored this season.

Miami ranks third-worst in the NBA with a 33.8% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, it is making 11.7 treys per game (17th-ranked in league). So far this year, the Heat have taken 59.7% two-pointers, accounting for 70.1% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 40.3% from beyond the arc (29.9% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Detroit Pistons

Detroit is the third-worst team in the NBA in points scored (111.1 per game) and second-worst in points allowed (118.6). At home the Pistons are putting up 112.8 points per game, 3.7 more than they are averaging away (109.1). The Pistons have played worse offensively in their last 10 games, averaging 106.4 points per contest, 4.7 fewer points their than season average of 111.1.

Detroit is 19th in the league in 3-pointers made (11.5 per game) and 21st in 3-point percentage (35.2%). In 2022-23, the Pistons have attempted 62.8% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 37.2% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 71.1% of the Pistons’ buckets have been 2-pointers, and 28.9% have been 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Heat, and we expect that Pistons will cover the spread (Heat -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 217.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Pistons at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Pistons picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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