Heat vs Pelicans Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, January 22, 2023

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The Miami Heat (25-22) take the court against the New Orleans Pelicans (26-20) as 7.5-point favorites on Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET on BSSU. A 217.5-point over/under is set for the matchup.

How to bet Heat vs. Pelicans

Miami Heat vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -304 odds to pick up the win, while the Pelicans are listed at +244 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 217.5 points.

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Heat vs. Pelicans Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 22, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Pelicans Betting Trends

In the Heat’s 47 games this season, they have 18 wins against the spread. Miami has been the favorite in 33 games this season and has come away with the win 21 times (63.6%) in those contests. Heat games this year have hit the over 21 times in 46 opportunities (45.7%).

The Pelicans are 22-24-0 against the spread this year. New Orleans has won 38.1% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (8-13). Pelicans games this year have gone over the point total 27 times in 46 opportunities (58.7%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 33 21.7 6.2 5.1 2 0.4 0.6
Bam Adebayo 42 21.5 10.1 3.1 1.1 0.9 0
Tyler Herro 35 20.6 5.9 4.4 0.9 0.3 3.1
Max Strus 45 12.9 3.6 2.3 0.7 0.2 2.6
Kyle Lowry 38 12.7 4.5 5.5 1.1 0.4 2.1


Pelicans Leaders
CJ McCollum 41 21.3 4.6 5.8 1 0.6 3
Jonas Valančiūnas 46 14.9 9.8 1.7 0.3 0.5 0.6
Trey Murphy III 43 12.7 3.9 1.4 1 0.5 2.2
Naji Marshall 43 10.5 3.7 2.5 0.8 0.2 1.1
Herbert Jones 30 10 3.6 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.8
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Heat: Udonis Haslem: Probable (Achilles), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back), Duncan Robinson: Out (Finger), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)

Pelicans: Naji Marshall: Doubtful (Toe), Zion Williamson: Out (Hamstring), EJ Liddell: Out (Knee), Brandon Ingram: Out (Toe)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this year, ranking worst in the NBA with 108.8 points per game, it has been forced to lean on its defense, which ranks second-best in the league by surrendering 108.7 points per game. Offensively the Heat have performed better at home this season, putting up 109.7 points per game, compared to 108 per game in road games. The Heat have been scoring 108.2 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 108.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Miami, who is 15th in the league with 11.9 treys per game, is shooting just 33.7% from beyond the arc, which is fifth-worst in the NBA. The Heat have taken 59% two-pointers and 41% from three-point land this year. Of the team’s buckets, 69.7% are two-pointers and 30.3% are threes.

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What you need to know about the New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans is ninth in the NBA in points scored (116.4 per game) and 16th in points allowed (113.7). At home the Pelicans are scoring 116.2 points per game, 0.5 fewer points than they are averaging away (116.7). The Pelicans are posting 112.2 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 4.2 fewer points than their average for the season (116.4).

Beyond the arc, New Orleans is 22nd in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (11.2). It is 12th in 3-point percentage at 36.4%. In 2022-23, the Pelicans have taken 65.2% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 34.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 73.6% of the Pelicans’ baskets have been 2-pointers, and 26.4% have been 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this matchup is the Heat, and we predict that Pelicans will cover the spread (Heat -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 217.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Pelicans at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Pelicans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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