Heat vs Pacers Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, December 23, 2022

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The Miami Heat (16-16) square off against the Indiana Pacers (16-16) as 6.5-point favorites on Friday, December 23, 2022 at 8:00 PM ET on BSSU. The over/under is set at 223.5 points for this matchup.

How to bet Heat vs. Pacers

Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -242 odds to pick up the win, while the Pacers are listed at +198 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 223.5 points.

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Heat vs. Pacers Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, December 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Pacers Betting Trends

The Heat are 10-20-2 against the spread this year. Miami has come away with 14 wins in the 23 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. Heat games this year have hit the over on 15 of 32 set point totals.

The Pacers have played 32 games, with 18 wins against the spread. Indiana has won 45.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (11-13). Pacers games this year have hit the over 14 times in 32 opportunities (43.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 20 21.9 6.8 5.9 1.9 0.4 0.8
Tyler Herro 24 21.1 6.1 4.3 0.9 0.5 3.4
Bam Adebayo 29 20.9 9.9 3.4 1 0.7 0
Kyle Lowry 28 14 4.7 5.9 1.1 0.5 2.4
Max Strus 30 13.1 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.3 2.7


Pacers Leaders
Tyrese Haliburton 30 20 4 10.6 1.7 0.4 2.9
Bennedict Mathurin 32 17.5 4.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.8
Buddy Hield 32 17.4 4.7 2.7 1 0.3 3.6
Myles Turner 26 16.7 7.8 1.5 0.6 2.1 1.7
Jalen Smith 31 10.4 6.4 1.1 0.4 1 1.1
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Heat: Gabe Vincent: Questionable (Knee), Udonis Haslem: Questionable (Achilles), Dewayne Dedmon: Probable (Foot), Jimmy Butler: Probable (Illness), Caleb Martin: Questionable (Ankle), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)

Pacers: Aaron Nesmith: Questionable (Ankle), Tyrese Haliburton: Questionable (Wrist), Kendall Brown: Out (Leg), Daniel Theis: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this season, ranking second-worst in the NBA with 108 points per game, it has had to rely on its defense, which ranks fifth-best in the league by giving up 109.1 points per game. The Heat are putting up 109.8 points per game when playing at home. In away games, they are averaging 106.1 points per contest. On offense, the Heat have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 105.7 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 108 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.

Miami is 11th in the NBA with 12.4 three-pointers per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 21st with a 34.3% shooting percentage from three-point land. So far this year, the Heat have taken 57.6% two-pointers, accounting for 67.9% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 42.4% threes (32.1% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Indiana Pacers

At 114.7 points scored per game and 115.5 points conceded, Indiana is 12th in the NBA offensively and 21st on defense. At home the Pacers are putting up 116.6 points per game, 3.8 more than they are averaging away (112.8). The Pacers have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, putting up 112.3 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points their than season average of 114.7.

Beyond the arc, Indiana is fifth-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.7). It is 12th in 3-point percentage at 36.7%. In 2022-23, the Pacers have taken 44.6% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 55.4% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 35.9% of the Pacers’ buckets have been 3-pointers, and 64.1% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Heat, and we expect that Pacers will cover the spread (Heat -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 223.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Pacers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Pacers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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