Heat vs Pacers Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, December 12, 2022

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The Miami Heat (12-15) visit the Indiana Pacers (14-13) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, December 12, 2022. The Heat are 3.5-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the teams this season. The matchup has a 228.5 point total.

How to bet Heat vs. Pacers

Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -160 odds to pick up the win, while the Pacers are listed at +136 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 228.5 points.

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Heat vs. Pacers Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, December 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Heat vs. Pacers Betting Trends

The Heat have played 27 games, with eight wins against the spread. Miami has come away with 10 wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. Heat games this year have gone over the point total 51.9% of the time (14 out of 27 games with a set point total).

The Pacers have played 27 games, with 15 wins against the spread. Indiana has been the underdog on the moneyline 19 total times this season. Indy has gone 9-10 in those games. Pacers games this year have eclipsed the over/under 44.4% of the time (12 out of 27 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 17 21.8 6.7 6 1.7 0.2 0.8
Bam Adebayo 25 20.8 9.2 3.3 0.9 0.7 0
Tyler Herro 19 20.1 6.6 4.2 0.8 0.5 2.8
Kyle Lowry 26 14.3 4.9 6.1 1.2 0.6 2.3
Max Strus 25 13.8 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 2.8


Pacers Leaders
Tyrese Haliburton 25 20.2 4.3 11 1.8 0.3 2.9
Bennedict Mathurin 27 17.9 4.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.9
Myles Turner 21 17.6 7.7 1.4 0.5 2.3 1.6
Buddy Hield 27 17.6 4.7 2.6 1 0.4 3.6
Jalen Smith 26 11.2 6.7 1.1 0.3 1 1.2
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Heat: Max Strus: Probable (Shoulder), Tyler Herro: Probable (Ankle), Duncan Robinson: Probable (Ankle), Victor Oladipo: Probable (Knee), Dewayne Dedmon: Questionable (Foot), Jimmy Butler: Probable (Injury Management), Gabe Vincent: Out (Knee), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)

Pacers: Daniel Theis: Out (Knee), Chris Duarte: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami has struggled to put up points this season, ranking third-worst in the league with 108.6 points per game. It has done better on defense, ranking seventh by allowing 110.3 points per contest. When playing at home, the Heat are putting up 3.7 more points per game (110.3) than they are in away games (106.6). The Heat’s offense has been incredibly consistent as of late, averaging the same 108.6 points per game over their last 10 games as they have the entire 2022-23 season.

Miami is making 12 threes per game (13th-ranked in league). It owns a 34% shooting percentage (20th-ranked) from three-point land. When it comes to shot breakdown, the Heat have taken 59% two-pointers (accounting for 69.2% of the team’s baskets) and 41% three-pointers (30.8%).

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What you need to know about the Indiana Pacers

In 2022-23, Indiana is seventh in the league offensively (115.9 points scored per game) and fourth-worst on defense (116.7 points allowed). The Pacers average 119.4 points per game at home, and 112.6 away. Over their last 10 games, the Pacers are averaging 115.8 points per game, 0.1 fewer points than their season average (115.9).

Beyond the arc, Indiana is third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.9). It is 10th in 3-point percentage at 36.9%. In 2022-23, the Pacers have attempted 44.8% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 55.2% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 36.1% of the Pacers’ buckets have been 3-pointers, and 63.9% have been 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this matchup is the Pacers, and we expect that Pacers will cover the spread (Heat -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 228.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Pacers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Pacers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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