Nuggets vs Heat Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, February 13, 2023

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The efficient offense of the Denver Nuggets (39-18) will square off against the strong defense of the Miami Heat (32-25) at FTX Arena on February 13, 2023, where the Nuggets are favored by one point. The matchup has a 219.5 point total.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Heat

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -115 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at -104 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 219.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, February 13, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Trends

In the Nuggets’ 57 games this year, they have 30 wins against the spread. Denver has been chosen as the favorite in 44 games this year and has walked away with the win 33 times (75%) in those games. Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 27 times in 57 opportunities (47.4%).

The Heat have played 57 games, with 21 wins against the spread. Miami has won 31.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (5-11). Heat games this year have hit the over on 24 of 57 set point totals (42.1%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 49 24.9 11.4 10.1 1.3 0.7 0.9
Jamal Murray 45 20.2 4.1 5.8 1 0.2 2.4
Aaron Gordon 49 17.3 6.9 2.9 0.8 0.8 1
Michael Porter Jr. 40 16.7 5.4 1.1 0.7 0.5 2.8
Thomas Bryant 42 11.8 6.6 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.5


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 42 21.9 6 5 2.1 0.4 0.5
Bam Adebayo 52 21.6 10.1 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 45 20.6 5.7 4.4 0.9 0.3 3
Max Strus 55 12.3 3.5 2.2 0.7 0.2 2.6
Caleb Martin 47 10.1 5.2 1.7 1 0.4 1.4
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Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Report

Heat: Max Strus: Probable (Shoulder), Tyler Herro: Questionable (Knee), Gabe Vincent: Probable (Ankle), Haywood Highsmith: Probable (Elbow), Bam Adebayo: Probable (Knee), Udonis Haslem: Doubtful (Not With Team), Victor Oladipo: Out (Ankle), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back), Duncan Robinson: Out (Finger), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

On offense, Denver is putting up 117.2 points per game (sixth-ranked in league). It is giving up 112.9 points per contest at the other end (13th-ranked). Offensively the Nuggets have fared better at home this season, averaging 121.4 points per game, compared to 112.4 per game on the road. The Nuggets have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 116.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.4 points fewer than the 117.2 they’ve scored this year.

Denver ranks best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 39.3%. It ranks 14th in the league by making 12.1 treys per contest. So far this season, the Nuggets have taken 64.3% two-pointers, accounting for 72.5% of the team’s baskets. They have shot 35.7% from three-point land (27.5% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

In 2022-23, Miami is worst in the NBA on offense (108.4 points scored per game) but second-best defensively (108.1 points conceded). The Heat are scoring more points at home (108.7 per game) than on the road (108.1). Over their past 10 games, the Heat are posting 106.4 points per contest, compared to their season average of 108.4.

In 2022-23 Miami is 18th in the league in 3-point makes (11.7 per game) and third-worst in 3-point percentage (33.5%). The Heat attempt 40.4% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 59.6% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 29.9% of the Heat’s baskets are 3-pointers, and 70.1% are 2-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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