Heat vs Magic Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, April 9, 2023

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The Miami Heat (43-38) host the Orlando Magic (34-47) at FTX Arena on Sunday, April 9, 2023. The contest begins at 1:00 PM ET and airs on BSSU. The Heat are 6.5-point favorites in the game, the fourth matchup between the squads this season. The over/under for this matchup is set at 217.

How to bet Heat vs. Magic

Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Heat have -246 odds to pick up the win, while the Magic are listed at +202 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 217 points.

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Heat vs. Magic Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Magic Betting Trends

The Heat have 29 wins against the spread in 81 games this season. Miami has won 35, or 61.4%, of the 57 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Heat games this year have gone over the total in 39 out of 81 opportunities (48.1%).

Against the spread, the Magic are 45-33-3 this year. Orlando has won 24 of the 61 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (39.3%). The Magic have hit the over 49.4% of the time this season (40 of 81 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Heat

Heat Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 74 20.6 9.3 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 66 20.3 5.4 4.2 0.8 0.2 3.1
Max Strus 79 11.7 3.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 2.5
Kyle Lowry 54 11.4 4.1 5.1 1.1 0.4 2

Magic

Magic Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Paolo Banchero 72 20 6.9 3.7 0.8 0.5 1.2
Franz Wagner 79 18.7 4.1 3.5 0.9 0.2 1.6
Wendell Carter Jr. 56 15.5 8.8 2.3 0.5 0.6 1.4
Markelle Fultz 59 14.1 3.9 5.7 1.5 0.4 0.4
Cole Anthony 60 13 4.8 3.9 0.6 0.5 1.3
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Heat vs. Magic Injury Report

Magic: Moritz Wagner: Out (Ankle), Wendell Carter: Questionable (Hip), Jonathan Isaac: Out (Injury Management), Markelle Fultz: Questionable (Knee), Gary Harris: Questionable (Adductor), Jay Scrubb: Out (Ineligible), Franz Wagner: Questionable (Ankle), Paolo Banchero: Questionable (Back)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this season, ranking worst in the NBA with 109.3 points per game, it has been forced to rely on its defense, which ranks second-best in the league by surrendering 109.8 points per game. The Heat score 111.2 points per game at home, compared to 107.5 points per game in away games, a difference of 3.7 points per contest. On offense, the Heat have picked up their production a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 110.6 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 109.3 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.

Miami ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with a 34.3% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, it is making 11.9 three-pointers per game (17th-ranked in league). When it comes to shot breakdown, the Heat have taken 59.4% two-pointers (accounting for 69.7% of the team’s baskets) and 40.6% threes (30.3%).

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What you need to know about the Orlando Magic

Orlando is the fifth-worst squad in the league in points scored (111.4 per game) and 15th in points conceded (113.9). The Magic average 114.3 points per game at home, and 108.5 away. The Magic are averaging 110 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 1.4 fewer points than their average for the season (111.4).

Beyond the arc, Orlando is fifth-worst in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (10.7). It is ranked 24th in 3-point percentage at 34.6%. The Magic take 35.9% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 26.4% of their made baskets are from there. Inside the 3-point line, they take 64.1% of their shots, with 73.6% of their makes coming from there.

Our pick to win this matchup is the Heat, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Heat -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 217 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Magic at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Magic picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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