The Miami Heat (36-32) visit the Orlando Magic (27-40) at Amway Center, starting at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The Heat are just 2.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season. The point total is set as 221 points for the contest.
How to bet Heat vs. Magic
Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Heat have -140 odds to pick up the win, while the Magic are listed at +119 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 221 points.

Heat vs. Magic Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: BSF
- Location: Orlando, Florida
- Arena: Amway Center
Heat vs. Magic Betting Trends
The Heat are 24-40-4 against the spread this year. Miami has been victorious in 30, or 62.5%, of the 48 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Heat games this year have eclipsed the over/under 44.8% of the time (30 out of 67 games with a set point total).
The Magic have played 67 games, with 35 wins against the spread. Orlando has won 21 of the 53 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (39.6%). The Magic have hit the over 49.3% of the time this year (33 of 67 games with a set point total).

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players
Heat
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jimmy Butler | 53 | 22.3 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Bam Adebayo | 63 | 21.1 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
Tyler Herro | 54 | 20.4 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3.1 |
Max Strus | 66 | 12 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
Victor Oladipo | 35 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 |
Magic
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paolo Banchero | 60 | 20.1 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
Franz Wagner | 66 | 18.9 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.7 |
Wendell Carter Jr. | 44 | 15 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
Markelle Fultz | 46 | 13.6 | 4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Cole Anthony | 47 | 12.2 | 4.4 | 4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 |

Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Rib), Duncan Robinson: Out (Illness), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee)
Magic: Patrick Beverley: Out (Trade Pending), Jonathan Isaac: Out (Injury Management)
What you need to know about the Miami Heat
Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this season, ranking worst in the NBA with 108.5 points per game, it has had to lean on its defense, which ranks second-best in the league by surrendering 109.1 points per game. In home games, the Heat are putting up 2.1 more points per game (109.5) than they are on the road (107.4). The Heat have been scoring 109 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 108.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.
Miami ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with a 33.8% shooting percentage from downtown. Meanwhile, it is draining 11.6 three-pointers per game (17th-ranked in league). The Heat are attempting 51.2 two-pointers per game this season, which account for 59.8% of the shots they’ve attempted (and 70% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 34.5 threes per contest, which are 40.2% of their shots (and 30% of the team’s buckets).

What you need to know about the Orlando Magic
Offensively, Orlando is the fourth-worst team in the league (111.3 points per game). Defensively, it is 17th (114.3 points conceded per game). At home, the Magic score 113.9 points per game. Away, they score 108.7. In their last 10 games, the Magic are putting up 113 points per game, 1.7 more than their season average (111.3).
In 2022-23, Orlando is 24th in the league in 3-point makes (10.7 per game) and 23rd in 3-point percentage (34.8%). In 2022-23, the Magic have attempted 35.8% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 64.2% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 26.4% of the Magic’s baskets have been 3-pointers, and 73.6% have been 2-pointers.
Our prediction to win this game is the Magic, and we predict that Magic will cover the spread (Heat -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 221 points.




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