Heat vs Magic Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The Miami Heat (36-32) visit the Orlando Magic (27-40) at Amway Center, starting at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The Heat are just 2.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season. The point total is set as 221 points for the contest.

How to bet Heat vs. Magic

Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -140 odds to pick up the win, while the Magic are listed at +119 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 221 points.

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Heat vs. Magic Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSF
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Arena: Amway Center

Heat vs. Magic Betting Trends

The Heat are 24-40-4 against the spread this year. Miami has been victorious in 30, or 62.5%, of the 48 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Heat games this year have eclipsed the over/under 44.8% of the time (30 out of 67 games with a set point total).

The Magic have played 67 games, with 35 wins against the spread. Orlando has won 21 of the 53 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (39.6%). The Magic have hit the over 49.3% of the time this year (33 of 67 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 53 22.3 6.1 5.1 1.9 0.3 0.5
Bam Adebayo 63 21.1 9.4 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 54 20.4 5.7 4.4 0.8 0.3 3.1
Max Strus 66 12 3.4 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Victor Oladipo 35 10.3 3.3 3.5 1.4 0.3 1.5


Magic Leaders
Paolo Banchero 60 20.1 6.6 3.6 0.9 0.5 1.2
Franz Wagner 66 18.9 3.8 3.4 0.9 0.2 1.7
Wendell Carter Jr. 44 15 8.8 2.5 0.4 0.6 1.2
Markelle Fultz 46 13.6 4 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.4
Cole Anthony 47 12.2 4.4 4 0.6 0.6 1.1
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Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Rib), Duncan Robinson: Out (Illness), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee)

Magic: Patrick Beverley: Out (Trade Pending), Jonathan Isaac: Out (Injury Management)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this season, ranking worst in the NBA with 108.5 points per game, it has had to lean on its defense, which ranks second-best in the league by surrendering 109.1 points per game. In home games, the Heat are putting up 2.1 more points per game (109.5) than they are on the road (107.4). The Heat have been scoring 109 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 108.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Miami ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with a 33.8% shooting percentage from downtown. Meanwhile, it is draining 11.6 three-pointers per game (17th-ranked in league). The Heat are attempting 51.2 two-pointers per game this season, which account for 59.8% of the shots they’ve attempted (and 70% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 34.5 threes per contest, which are 40.2% of their shots (and 30% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Orlando Magic

Offensively, Orlando is the fourth-worst team in the league (111.3 points per game). Defensively, it is 17th (114.3 points conceded per game). At home, the Magic score 113.9 points per game. Away, they score 108.7. In their last 10 games, the Magic are putting up 113 points per game, 1.7 more than their season average (111.3).

In 2022-23, Orlando is 24th in the league in 3-point makes (10.7 per game) and 23rd in 3-point percentage (34.8%). In 2022-23, the Magic have attempted 35.8% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 64.2% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 26.4% of the Magic’s baskets have been 3-pointers, and 73.6% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the Magic, and we predict that Magic will cover the spread (Heat -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 221 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Magic at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Magic picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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