Heat vs Knicks Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 4

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The Miami Heat enter Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the New York Knicks as 4.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Monday tips at 7:30 PM ET on TNT from FTX Arena. The Heat lead the series 2-1. The over/under in the matchup is set at 209.

How to bet Heat vs. Knicks

Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -186 odds to pick up the win, while the Knicks are listed at +158 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 209 points.

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Heat vs. Knicks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, May 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Heat are 30-48-4 this year. Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 58 games this year and has walked away with the win 36 times (62.1%) in those games. Heat games this year have hit the over 48.8% of the time (40 out of 82 games with a set point total).

The Knicks are 45-35-2 against the spread this year. New York has gone 20-21 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 48.8% of those games). Knicks games this year have eclipsed the over/under 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 75 20.4 9.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Max Strus 80 11.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 55 11.2 4.1 5.1 1 0.4 1.9
Caleb Martin 71 9.6 4.8 1.6 1 0.4 1.2


Knicks Leaders
Julius Randle 77 25.1 10 4.1 0.6 0.3 2.8
Jalen Brunson 68 24 3.5 6.2 0.9 0.2 2
RJ Barrett 73 19.6 5 2.8 0.4 0.2 1.7
Immanuel Quickley 81 14.9 4.2 3.4 1 0.2 2.1
Quentin Grimes 71 11.3 3.2 2.1 0.7 0.4 2.2
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Heat vs. Knicks Injury Report

Knicks: Immanuel Quickley: Doubtful (Ankle), Jericho Sims: Out (Shoulder)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Although Miami is putting up just 109.5 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been playing really well, as it ranks second-best in the league by giving up 109.8 points per game. Offensively the Heat have performed better at home this year, averaging 111.4 points per game, compared to 107.5 per game away from home. The Heat’s offense has been much better over their last 10 games, putting up 116.9 points per contest compared to the 109.5 they’ve averaged this year.

Miami ranks 16th in the NBA by sinking 12 treys per game, but it owns a 34.4% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks fourth-worst in the league. The Heat are attempting 50.5 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 59.2% of the shots they’ve attempted (and 69.5% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 34.8 threes per contest, which are 40.8% of their shots (and 30.5% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the New York Knicks

On offense New York is the 11th-ranked team in the league (116 points per game). On defense it is 12th (113.1 points conceded per game). The Knicks are putting up more points at home (117.3 per game) than on the road (114.8). Over their last 10 games, the Knicks are scoring 103.7 points per contest, 12.3 fewer points than their season average (116).

New York makes 12.6 3-pointers per game and shoots 35.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 11th and 19th, respectively, in the league. In 2022-23, the Knicks have attempted 40% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 60% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 30.1% of the Knicks’ buckets have been 3-pointers, and 69.9% have been 2-pointers.

Heat vs. Knicks Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Heat vs. Knicks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Knicks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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