Heat vs Knicks Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Eastern Conference Semifinals Game 3

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The Miami Heat enter Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the New York Knicks as 4.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Saturday starts at 3:30 PM ET on ABC from FTX Arena. The series is even 1-1. The over/under is 209.5 points for the matchup.

How to bet Heat vs. Knicks

Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -185 odds to pick up the win, while the Knicks are listed at +156 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 209.5 points.

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Heat vs. Knicks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, May 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Trends

In the Heat’s 82 games this season, they have 30 wins against the spread. Miami has won 36, or 62.1%, of the 58 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Heat games this year have hit the over on 40 of 82 set point totals.

The Knicks have played 82 games, with 45 wins against the spread. New York has been the underdog on the moneyline 41 total times this season. NY has finished 20-21 in those games. Knicks games this season have gone over the point total 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 75 20.4 9.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Max Strus 80 11.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 55 11.2 4.1 5.1 1 0.4 1.9
Caleb Martin 71 9.6 4.8 1.6 1 0.4 1.2


Knicks Leaders
Julius Randle 77 25.1 10 4.1 0.6 0.3 2.8
Jalen Brunson 68 24 3.5 6.2 0.9 0.2 2
RJ Barrett 73 19.6 5 2.8 0.4 0.2 1.7
Immanuel Quickley 81 14.9 4.2 3.4 1 0.2 2.1
Quentin Grimes 71 11.3 3.2 2.1 0.7 0.4 2.2
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Heat vs. Knicks Injury Report

Knicks: Jericho Sims: Out (Shoulder)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami has been forced to rely on its defense, which ranks second-best in the NBA (109.8 points allowed per game), as it ranks worst in the league offensively with only 109.5 points per contest. In home games, the Heat are putting up 3.9 more points per game (111.4) than they are in away games (107.5). The Heat’s offense has been much better over their last 10 games, scoring 119.3 points per contest compared to the 109.5 they’ve averaged this year.

Miami ranks 16th in the NBA by sinking 12 three-pointers per game, but it sports a 34.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks fourth-worst in the league. When it comes to shot breakdown, the Heat have taken 59.2% two-pointers (accounting for 69.5% of the team’s baskets) and 40.8% from beyond the arc (30.5%).

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What you need to know about the New York Knicks

With 116 points scored per game and 113.1 points allowed, New York is 11th in the NBA on offense and 12th defensively. The Knicks score 117.3 points per game at home, and 114.8 away. While the Knicks are averaging 116 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, tallying 108.9 points per contest.

In 2022-23, New York is 11th in the NBA in 3-point makes (12.6 per game) and 19th in 3-point percentage (35.4%). The Knicks take 40% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 30.1% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they attempt 60% of their shots, with 69.9% of their makes coming from there.

Our pick to win this contest is the Heat, and we predict that Knicks will cover the spread (Heat -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 209.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Knicks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Knicks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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