The Miami Heat (34-31) host the Atlanta Hawks (32-32) at FTX Arena, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, March 6, 2023. The Hawks are only 2.5-point underdogs in the game. A 229-point over/under has been installed for this matchup.
How to bet Heat vs. Hawks
Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Heat have -139 odds to pick up the win, while the Hawks are listed at +118 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 229 points.

Heat vs. Hawks Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Monday, March 6, 2023
- Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: NBA
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: FTX Arena
Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends
In the Heat’s 65 games this year, they have 23 wins against the spread. Miami has won 28, or 60.9%, of the 46 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Heat games this year have hit the over 28 times in 64 opportunities (43.8%).
Against the spread, the Hawks are 28-35-1 this season. Atlanta has put together an 11-17 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.3% of those games). The Hawks have gone over the point total 54.7% of the time this season (35 of 64 games with a set point total).

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players
Heat
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jimmy Butler | 50 | 21.9 | 6 | 5.1 | 2 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Bam Adebayo | 60 | 21.3 | 9.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
Tyler Herro | 51 | 20.4 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3 |
Max Strus | 63 | 12 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
Caleb Martin | 55 | 10.1 | 5 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Hawks
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trae Young | 57 | 26.7 | 3 | 10.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 |
Dejounte Murray | 59 | 21 | 5.4 | 6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
De’Andre Hunter | 54 | 15.6 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.6 |
Saddiq Bey | 59 | 14.4 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2 |
Bogdan Bogdanovic | 39 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.8 |

Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Knee), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Out (Lower Back)
Hawks: None
What you need to know about the Miami Heat
Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this season, ranking worst in the NBA with 108.1 points per game, it has been forced to rely on its defense, which ranks second-best in the league by ceding 108.8 points per game. The Heat average 108.9 points per game at home, compared to 107.4 points per game on the road, a difference of 1.5 points per contest. The Heat’s offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, scoring 105.3 points a contest compared to the 108.1 they’ve averaged this season.
Miami ranks 17th in the NBA by making 11.6 threes per contest, but it sports a 33.4% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks third-worst in the league. The Heat have taken 59.7% two-pointers and 40.3% three-pointers this year. Of the team’s buckets, 70.2% are two-pointers and 29.8% are three-pointers.

What you need to know about the Atlanta Hawks
Offensively Atlanta is the sixth-ranked team in the NBA (117 points per game). Defensively it is 21st (116.9 points allowed per game). The Hawks are scoring more points at home (117.1 per game) than away (116.8). In their last 10 games, the Hawks are putting up 120.6 points per contest, 3.6 more than their season average (117).
With 10.7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.4% from beyond the arc, Atlanta is 24th and 19th in the league, respectively, in those categories. The Hawks take 33% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 24.3% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they take 67% of their shots, with 75.7% of their makes coming from there.
Our pick to win this matchup is the Heat, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Heat -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 229 points.




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