Heat vs Hawks Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, March 6, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetgf85vHq Betsperts Media & Technology

The Miami Heat (34-31) host the Atlanta Hawks (32-32) at FTX Arena, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, March 6, 2023. The Hawks are only 2.5-point underdogs in the game. A 229-point over/under has been installed for this matchup.

How to bet Heat vs. Hawks

Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -139 odds to pick up the win, while the Hawks are listed at +118 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 229 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

Heat vs. Hawks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, March 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends

In the Heat’s 65 games this year, they have 23 wins against the spread. Miami has won 28, or 60.9%, of the 46 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Heat games this year have hit the over 28 times in 64 opportunities (43.8%).

Against the spread, the Hawks are 28-35-1 this season. Atlanta has put together an 11-17 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.3% of those games). The Hawks have gone over the point total 54.7% of the time this season (35 of 64 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NBA Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 50 21.9 6 5.1 2 0.3 0.5
Bam Adebayo 60 21.3 9.7 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 51 20.4 5.6 4.4 0.8 0.3 3
Max Strus 63 12 3.5 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Caleb Martin 55 10.1 5 1.6 1 0.5 1.3


Hawks Leaders
Trae Young 57 26.7 3 10.1 1.1 0.2 2.1
Dejounte Murray 59 21 5.4 6 1.5 0.3 2.1
De’Andre Hunter 54 15.6 4.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 1.6
Saddiq Bey 59 14.4 4.6 1.5 0.9 0.2 2
Bogdan Bogdanovic 39 14.4 3.2 2.9 0.8 0.4 2.8
DraftKings NBA Promo
Bet $5 on NBA pre-game moneyline, win $150

Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Knee), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Out (Lower Back)

Hawks: None

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this season, ranking worst in the NBA with 108.1 points per game, it has been forced to rely on its defense, which ranks second-best in the league by ceding 108.8 points per game. The Heat average 108.9 points per game at home, compared to 107.4 points per game on the road, a difference of 1.5 points per contest. The Heat’s offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, scoring 105.3 points a contest compared to the 108.1 they’ve averaged this season.

Miami ranks 17th in the NBA by making 11.6 threes per contest, but it sports a 33.4% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks third-worst in the league. The Heat have taken 59.7% two-pointers and 40.3% three-pointers this year. Of the team’s buckets, 70.2% are two-pointers and 29.8% are three-pointers.

Caesars NBA Promo
$1,250 first bet, reward credits, plus free bets on the NBA

What you need to know about the Atlanta Hawks

Offensively Atlanta is the sixth-ranked team in the NBA (117 points per game). Defensively it is 21st (116.9 points allowed per game). The Hawks are scoring more points at home (117.1 per game) than away (116.8). In their last 10 games, the Hawks are putting up 120.6 points per contest, 3.6 more than their season average (117).

With 10.7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.4% from beyond the arc, Atlanta is 24th and 19th in the league, respectively, in those categories. The Hawks take 33% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 24.3% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they take 67% of their shots, with 75.7% of their makes coming from there.

Our pick to win this matchup is the Heat, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Heat -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 229 points.

Caesars NBA Promo
$1,250 first bet, reward credits, plus free bets on the NBA
DraftKings NBA Promo
Bet $5 on NBA pre-game moneyline, win $150
FanDuel NBA Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000
BetMGM NBA Promo
$1,000 First Bet Offer on NBA Bets

You can bet on Heat vs. Hawks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Hawks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

Deals of the Day

See All