Heat vs Hawks Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, January 16, 2023

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The Miami Heat (24-20) visit the Atlanta Hawks (21-22) at State Farm Arena, beginning at 3:30 PM ET on Monday, January 16, 2023. The Hawks are slight, 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s point total is 223.5.

How to bet Heat vs. Hawks

Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -115 odds to pick up the win, while the Hawks are listed at -104 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 223.5 points.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, January 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Arena: State Farm Arena

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends

In the Heat’s 44 games this season, they have 17 wins against the spread. Miami has been victorious in 20, or 64.5%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Heat games this year have gone over the total in 19 out of 43 opportunities (44.2%).

The Hawks are 17-25-1 against the spread this season. Atlanta has won 40% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (8-12). Hawks games this season have gone over the point total 53.5% of the time (23 out of 43 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 30 21.7 6.5 5.2 2.1 0.4 0.6
Bam Adebayo 39 21.5 10.1 3.1 1.1 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 32 21.2 6 4.4 1 0.3 3.3
Max Strus 42 13.1 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 2.7
Victor Oladipo 18 12.1 3.3 3.7 1.8 0.2 1.7


Hawks Leaders
Trae Young 38 27.5 2.8 9.8 0.8 0.2 2.3
Dejounte Murray 38 20.2 5.5 6.1 1.7 0.3 1.9
Bogdan Bogdanovic 19 16 3.8 2.6 0.8 0.3 2.9
De’Andre Hunter 35 15.6 4.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.6
John Collins 35 13.1 7.9 1.2 0.7 1.4 0.7
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Heat vs. Hawks Injury Report

Hawks: Trae Young: Probable (Shoulder), Clint Capela: Questionable (Calf)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami has been forced to count on its defense, which ranks second-best in the NBA (108.5 points allowed per game), as it ranks worst in the league offensively with just 108.8 points per contest. The Heat put up 109.7 points per game when playing at home, compared to 107.9 points per game in road games, a difference of 1.8 points per contest. The Heat’s offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 111.2 points per contest compared to the 108.8 they’ve averaged this year.

This season, Miami is draining 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 34% (24th-ranked) from three-point land. The Heat have taken 58.6% two-pointers and 41.4% from three-point land this year. Of the team’s baskets, 68.9% are two-pointers and 31.1% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Atlanta Hawks

In 2022-23, Atlanta is 11th in the league offensively (114.9 points scored per game) and 20th defensively (115.9 points allowed). In 2022-23 the Hawks are averaging one fewer points per game at home (114.4) than on the road (115.4). While the Hawks are putting up 114.9 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark in their past 10 games, amassing 116.1 a contest.

In 2022-23 Atlanta is second-worst in the league in 3-point makes (10.4 per game) and fifth-worst in 3-point percentage (33.7%). The Hawks take 33.4% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 66.6% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 24% of the Hawks’ buckets are 3-pointers, and 76% are 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Hawks, and we predict that Hawks will cover the spread (Heat -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 223.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Hawks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Hawks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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