Heat vs Grizzlies Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Wednesday, March 15, 2023

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A matchup between a pair of the strongest teams in the league defensively features the Miami Heat (37-33) favored by four points as they host the Memphis Grizzlies (41-26) at FTX Arena on March 15, 2023. The over/under in the matchup is 220.5.

How to bet Heat vs. Grizzlies

Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -178 odds to pick up the win, while the Grizzlies are listed at +151 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 220.5 points.

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Heat vs. Grizzlies Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 15, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Heat have played 70 games, with 24 wins against the spread. Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 50 games this year and has walked away with the win 31 times (62%) in those games. Heat games this year have gone over the total in 32 out of 67 opportunities (47.8%).

The Grizzlies have played 67 games, with 32 wins against the spread. Memphis has put together a 2-13 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 13.3% of those games). Grizzlies games this year have eclipsed the over/under 28 times in 67 opportunities (41.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 55 22.6 6.1 5 1.9 0.4 0.6
Bam Adebayo 65 20.9 9.4 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 56 20.3 5.7 4.3 0.8 0.3 3.1
Kyle Lowry 46 11.9 4.2 5.2 1.1 0.4 2.1
Max Strus 68 11.7 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.2 2.4


Grizzlies Leaders
Desmond Bane 45 21.3 5.1 4.3 0.9 0.4 2.9
Jaren Jackson Jr. 50 16.8 6.6 0.8 1 3.1 1.5
Dillon Brooks 61 14.3 3.3 2.6 0.9 0.2 1.9
Tyus Jones 67 10.1 2.3 4.7 1 0.1 1.5
Santi Aldama 64 9.3 4.7 1.2 0.6 0.7 1.3
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Heat: Cody Zeller: Out (Nose), Kyle Lowry: Questionable (Knee)

Grizzlies: Steven Adams: Out (Knee), Ja Morant: Out (Not With Team), Brandon Clarke: Out (Achilles), Jake LaRavia: Out (Back), Vince Williams Jr.: Out (Right Shoulder)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Although Miami is putting up just 108.7 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been helping to pick up the slack, as it ranks second-best in the league by surrendering 109.5 points per game. The Heat score 109.8 points per game at home, compared to 107.6 points per game on the road, a difference of 2.2 points per contest. The Heat’s offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 111.9 points per contest compared to the 108.7 they’ve averaged this season.

Miami ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with a 33.8% shooting percentage from downtown. Meanwhile, it is sinking 11.7 treys per game (17th-ranked in league). When it comes to shot breakdown, the Heat have taken 59.7% two-pointers (accounting for 70% of the team’s buckets) and 40.3% from beyond the arc (30%).

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What you need to know about the Memphis Grizzlies

In 2022-23, Memphis is 11th in the league offensively (115.6 points scored per game) and fifth-best defensively (111.6 points conceded). The Grizzlies average 118.6 points per game at home, and 112.7 away. The Grizzlies are posting 112.7 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 2.9 fewer points than their average for the season (115.6).

Memphis is 20th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (11.4 per game) and 25th in 3-point percentage (34.3%). In 2022-23, the Grizzlies have attempted 36.2% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 63.8% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 26.5% of the Grizzlies’ baskets have been 3-pointers, and 73.5% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Grizzlies, and we project that Grizzlies will cover the spread (Heat -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 220.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Grizzlies at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Grizzlies picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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