Heat vs Bulls Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 18, 2023

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The Miami Heat (38-33) visit the Chicago Bulls (32-37), with the matchup beginning at 8:00 PM ET from United Center on Saturday, March 18, 2023. The Heat are only 2.5-point favorites in the game. A 216-point over/under has been set in the matchup.

How to bet Heat vs. Bulls

Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -136 odds to pick up the win, while the Bulls are listed at +115 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 216 points.

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Heat vs. Bulls Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 18, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Arena: United Center

Heat vs. Bulls Betting Trends

In the Heat’s 71 games this season, they have 25 wins against the spread. Miami has won 32, or 62.7%, of the 51 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Heat games this year have gone over the point total 47.8% of the time (33 out of 69 games with a set point total).

The Bulls have 35 wins against the spread in 69 games this season. Chicago has won 39.5% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (15-23). Bulls games this season have gone over the point total 42% of the time (29 out of 69 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 56 22.6 6.1 5.1 1.9 0.4 0.6
Bam Adebayo 66 21 9.4 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 57 20.3 5.6 4.3 0.8 0.3 3
Max Strus 69 11.7 3.4 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.4
Victor Oladipo 37 10.3 3.2 3.4 1.4 0.3 1.5


Bulls Leaders
DeMar DeRozan 63 25.5 4.7 5 1.1 0.5 0.6
Zach LaVine 65 25.1 4.8 4 0.9 0.2 2.8
Nikola Vucevic 69 17.8 11.3 3.3 0.7 0.8 1.6
Patrick Williams 69 10.2 4.1 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.4
Ayo Dosunmu 67 8.9 2.9 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.8
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Heat: Cody Zeller: Out (Nose), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee)

Bulls: Alex Caruso: Probable (Illness), Javonte Green: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami has been forced to lean on its defense, which ranks second-best in the NBA (109.6 points allowed per game), as it ranks worst in the league offensively with only 109.1 points per contest. When playing at home, the Heat are averaging 2.9 more points per game (110.5) than they are in away games (107.6). In their last 10 games, the Heat have been scoring 115.4 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 109.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Miami ranks fifth-worst in the NBA with a 33.9% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, it is draining 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th-ranked in league). In terms of shot breakdown, the Heat have taken 59.8% two-pointers (accounting for 70.1% of the team’s buckets) and 40.2% threes (29.9%).

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What you need to know about the Chicago Bulls

At 113.6 points scored per game and 112.8 points conceded, Chicago is 18th in the NBA offensively and 11th defensively. The Bulls are scoring more points at home (115 per game) than away (112). The Bulls have fared better offensively over their last 10 games, putting up 116.3 points per contest, 2.7 more than their season average of 113.6.

In 2022-23 Chicago is worst in the NBA in 3-point makes (10.4 per game) and rank 13th in 3-point percentage (36.4%). The Bulls attempt 33% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 67% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 24.5% of the Bulls’ buckets are 3-pointers, and 75.5% are 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Bulls, and we project that Bulls will cover the spread (Heat -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 216 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Bulls at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Bulls picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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