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Two top defensive teams meet when the Miami Heat (22-20) play as six-point favorites versus the Milwaukee Bucks (27-14) on January 12, 2023 at FTX Arena. The over/under for the matchup is 211.5 points.
How to bet Heat vs. Bucks
Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Heat have -240 odds to pick up the win, while the Bucks are listed at +192 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 211.5 points.
Heat vs. Bucks Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Thursday, January 12, 2023
- Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: BSSU
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: FTX Arena
Heat vs. Bucks Betting Trends
Against the spread, the Heat are 16-24-2 this season. Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (62.1%) in those games. Heat games this year have eclipsed the over/under 19 times in 41 opportunities (46.3%).
Against the spread, the Bucks are 22-17-2 this year. Milwaukee has won 44.4% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-5). Bucks games this season have hit the over on 20 of 41 set point totals (48.8%).
Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players
Heat
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 28 | 22.1 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Bam Adebayo | 37 | 21.4 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Max Strus | 40 | 13.2 | 3.5 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Victor Oladipo | 16 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Gabe Vincent | 28 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
Bucks
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 35 | 31 | 11.9 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Jrue Holiday | 30 | 18.4 | 5 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 |
| Brook Lopez | 40 | 14.7 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Bobby Portis | 41 | 14.1 | 10.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 |
| Grayson Allen | 38 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
Heat vs. Bucks Injury Report
Bucks: Serge Ibaka: Out (Personal), Khris Middleton: Out (Knee)
What you need to know about the Miami Heat
Although Miami is putting up just 108.8 points per game (worst in NBA), its defense has been playing really well, as it ranks second-best in the league by giving up 109 points per game. The Heat are posting 109.7 points per game in home games. In away games, they are averaging 107.9 points per contest. On offense, the Heat have increased their production a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 111.4 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 108.8 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
Miami is draining 12.3 threes per game (12th-ranked in league). It owns a 33.9% shooting percentage (25th-ranked) from downtown. The Heat have taken 58.1% two-pointers and 41.9% threes this year. Of the team’s baskets, 68.4% are two-pointers and 31.6% are three-pointers.
What you need to know about the Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee scores 112.4 points per game and allow 111, making them 19th in the league offensively and sixth defensively. At home, the Bucks score 117.1 points per game. On the road, they average 107.5. The Bucks have fared worse offensively in their past 10 games, tallying 111 points per contest, 1.4 fewer points their than season average of 112.4.
Milwaukee is seventh in the league in 3-pointers made (13.3 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (34.5%). In 2022-23, the Bucks have attempted 57% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 43% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 67.4% of the Bucks’ baskets have been 2-pointers, and 32.6% have been 3-pointers.
Our prediction to win this matchup is the Heat, and we project that Bucks will cover the spread (Heat -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 211.5 points.
You can bet on Heat vs. Bucks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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