Hawks vs Heat Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, November 27, 2022

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The Atlanta Hawks (11-8) host the Miami Heat (9-11) at State Farm Arena, tipping off at 5:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 27, 2022. The Heat are 5-point underdogs in the game. The point total in this game is set at 225.

How to bet Hawks vs. Heat

Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Hawks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Hawks have -194 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +163 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 225 points.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Arena: State Farm Arena

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

In the Hawks’ 19 games this season, they have eight wins against the spread. Atlanta has come away with eight wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. Hawks games this year have hit the over on 11 of 20 set point totals.

The Heat are 6-13-1 against the spread this season. Miami has not yet won a game it played as the moneyline underdog this season, going 3-5. Heat games this year have gone over the total in 10 of 20 opportunities (50%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Hawks Leaders
Trae Young 18 28.6 2.9 9.1 0.8 0.2 2.4
Dejounte Murray 19 21.2 6 6.9 2 0.3 2
De’Andre Hunter 18 15.3 4.3 1 0.3 0.2 1.3
John Collins 19 12.1 7.1 1.2 0.8 1.3 0.7
Clint Capela 18 11.1 11.9 0.8 0.6 1.6 0


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 13 20.9 6.6 6.1 1.8 0.2 0.8
Bam Adebayo 18 19.9 9.5 3.3 1.1 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 12 18.7 6.2 3.3 0.6 0.6 2.6
Max Strus 18 15.3 3.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 3
Kyle Lowry 20 14.9 5 6.1 1.1 0.7 2.5
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Hawks: Clint Capela: Questionable (Mouth), Bogdan Bogdanovic: Out (Knee)

Heat: Max Strus: Questionable (Shoulder), Duncan Robinson: Questionable (Ankle), Jamal Cain: Probable (Illness), Caleb Martin: Questionable (Illness), Tyler Herro: Questionable (Ankle), Gabe Vincent: Questionable (Knee), Dewayne Dedmon: Questionable (Foot), Jimmy Butler: Out (Knee), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle), Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta is ninth in the NBA with 114.8 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, it ranks 22nd with 114.7 points allowed per game. Offensively the Hawks have been worse when playing at home this season, posting 113.8 points per game, compared to 116 per game in road games. In their last 10 games, the Hawks have been racking up 113.4 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 114.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

When it comes to threes, Atlanta has been inefficient, as it ranks second-worst in the league in threes made (9.6 per game) and fifth-worst in three-point percentage (32.7%). In terms of shot breakdown, the Hawks have taken 68.7% two-pointers (accounting for 77.9% of the team’s buckets) and 31.3% from beyond the arc (22.1%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami is the fourth-worst team in the NBA in points scored (108.6 per game) and seventh in points conceded (109.5). In 2022-23 the Heat are averaging 6.1 more points per game at home (111) than on the road (104.9). The Heat have played better offensively over their previous 10 games, generating 109 points per contest, 0.4 more than their season average of 108.6.

In 2022-23, Miami is 17th in the NBA in 3-point makes (11.8 per game) and 23rd in 3-point percentage (33.5%). The Heat take 41% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 30.8% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they attempt 59% of their shots, with 69.2% of their makes coming from there.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Hawks, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Hawks -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 225 points.

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You can bet on Hawks vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Hawks vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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