Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The Memphis Grizzlies (39-26) host the Dallas Mavericks (34-33), with the matchup beginning at 8:00 PM ET from FedExForum on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The Grizzlies are 5-point favorites in the game. The over/under for the matchup is set at 225 points.

How to bet Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Grizzlies as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Grizzlies have -190 odds to pick up the win, while the Mavericks are listed at +159 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 225 points.

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Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSE
  • Location: Memphis, Tennessee
  • Arena: FedExForum

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Grizzlies are 31-31-3 this year. Memphis has been chosen as the favorite in 50 games this year and has walked away with the win 37 times (74%) in those games. Grizzlies games this year have hit the over on 28 of 67 set point totals.

The Mavericks have 23 wins against the spread in 67 games this season. Dallas has won six of the 21 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (28.6%). Mavericks games this season have gone over the total in 37 of 67 opportunities (55.2%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Grizzlies Leaders
Desmond Bane 43 21.2 5 4.1 0.9 0.4 2.9
Jaren Jackson Jr. 48 17.1 6.6 0.9 1.1 3.2 1.5
Dillon Brooks 59 14.4 3.3 2.5 0.8 0.2 1.8
Tyus Jones 65 10.1 2.2 4.7 1.1 0.1 1.5
Santi Aldama 62 9.3 4.6 1.2 0.6 0.7 1.3


Mavericks Leaders
Kyrie Irving 51 27.2 5.1 5.5 1.1 0.7 3.3
Christian Wood 55 17.1 7.7 1.6 0.4 1.1 1.6
Tim Hardaway Jr. 61 14.2 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 3
Josh Green 47 8.8 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.1 1.1
Reggie Bullock 64 7.1 3.5 1.4 0.8 0.2 1.9
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Grizzlies: Steven Adams: Out (Knee), Ja Morant: Out (Not With Team), Brandon Clarke: Out (Achilles), Vince Williams Jr.: Out (Right Shoulder)

Mavericks: Maximilian Kleber: Questionable (Injury Recovery), Kyrie Irving: Questionable (Foot), JaVale McGee: Questionable (Ankle), Reggie Bullock: Probable (Quadricep), Luka Dončić: Out (Thigh)

What you need to know about the Memphis Grizzlies

This year, Memphis is posting 115.8 points per game (10th-ranked in NBA) and surrendering 112 points per contest (sixth-ranked). The Grizzlies post 118.8 points per game in home games, compared to 113 points per game in away games, a difference of 5.8 points per contest. The Grizzlies’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 113.7 points a contest compared to the 115.8 they’ve averaged this season.

Memphis is 19th in the NBA with 11.5 threes per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 24th with a 34.5% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies are attempting 59.1 two-pointers per game this season, which account for 64% of the shots they’ve attempted (and 73.5% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 33.2 three-pointers per contest, which are 36% of their shots (and 26.5% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Offensively Dallas is the 17th-ranked squad in the NBA (114 points per game). On defense it is 14th (113.2 points allowed per game). At home, the Mavericks average 115.9 points per game. Away, they score 111.9. The Mavericks are posting 121.5 points per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 7.5 more than their average for the season (114).

Dallas is the third-best squad in the league in 3-pointers made (15.1 per game) and ninth in 3-point percentage (37.1%). The Mavericks attempt 51.1% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 48.9% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 61.8% of the Mavericks’ baskets are 2-pointers, and 38.2% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this matchup is the Grizzlies, and we project that Grizzlies will cover the spread (Grizzlies -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 225 points.

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You can bet on Grizzlies vs. Mavericks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Grizzlies vs. Mavericks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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