Denver vs. Sacramento Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Wednesday, February 28, 2024

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The Denver Nuggets (39-19) will attempt to extend a three-game winning run when hosting the Sacramento Kings (33-24) on February 28, 2024 at Ball Arena.

The Nuggets head into their matchup against the Kings as a 7-point favorite. The game features an over/under of 231.

Nuggets vs. Kings Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Kings

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. Sacramento Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -285 odds to win the game, while Sacramento is listed at +230 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 231 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Wednesday, February 28, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: NBCS

Nuggets vs. Kings Betting Trends

The Nuggets have covered the spread in a game 25 times this season (25-31-2). This season, Denver has been favored 49 times and won 36, or 73.5%, of those games. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 22 times out of 57 chances this season.

The Kings are 29-27-1 against the spread this year. Sacramento has been an underdog in 18 games this season and has come away with the win eight times (44.4%) in those contests. This year, Kings games have hit the over 29 times.

Nuggets vs. Kings Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic’s numbers on the season are 26.1 points, 9.3 assists and 12.3 boards per game. Michael Porter Jr. is putting up 16.2 points, 1.4 assists and 7.1 boards per game. Jamal Murray’s numbers for the season are 20.6 points, 3.9 boards and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 47.2% from the field and 41.0% from downtown, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game. Aaron Gordon puts up 13.8 points, 6.5 boards and 3.1 assists per contest, shooting 55.1% from the field.

Kings

Domantas Sabonis’ averages for the season are 20.0 points, 13.2 rebounds and 8.5 assists, making 62.1% of his shots from the floor (seventh in NBA). De’Aaron Fox chips in with 26.9 points per game, plus 4.2 boards and 5.6 assists. The Kings receive 15.1 points per game from Malik Monk, plus 2.7 boards and 5.3 assists. Keegan Murray averages 15.0 points, 5.3 boards and 1.6 assists, making 46.5% of his shots from the floor and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per contest.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging 114.5 points per game (16th-ranked in league). They are surrendering 110.7 points per contest at the other end (seventh-ranked). The Nuggets are eighth in the NBA with 44.4 rebounds per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank sixth with 42.0 rebounds allowed per game. The Nuggets have been tallying plenty of assists in 2023-24, ranking fifth-best in the NBA with 29.0 assists per contest.

In home games, Denver is averaging 8.6 more points per game (119.1) than it is on the road (110.5). Denver has found it difficult to sink threes, ranking fifth-worst in the league with 11.4 threes made per game. It ranks 15th with a 36.6% shooting percentage from downtown this season. Denver ranks top-five this season in three-pointers allowed, currently second-best in the league with 11.4 treys allowed per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 14th with a 36.4% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Nuggets have gone 6-4 over their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Denver has hit the over four times. The Nuggets’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 112.1 points a contest compared to the 114.5 they’ve averaged this year. Denver’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (109.6) is 1.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (110.7).

What you need to know about the Kings

The Kings score 118.5 points per game and give up 117.9, ranking them eighth in the NBA offensively and 23rd defensively. Sacramento grabs 43.2 rebounds per game and give up 42.5 boards, ranking 18th and 10th, respectively, in the league. At 28.7 assists per game, the Kings are sixth in the NBA.

The Kings average 121.6 points per game at home, and 115.9 on the road. Beyond the arc, the Kings are fourth-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.7). They are 12th in 3-point percentage at 37.1%. In 2023-24 Sacramento is 19th in the league in 3-pointers conceded (13.3 per game) and worst in defensive 3-point percentage (39.6%).

The Kings have gone 5-5 in their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Seven of Sacramento’s last 10 contests have hit the over. Over its previous 10 games, Sacramento is putting up 118.8 points per game, 0.3 more than its season average (118.5). In their last 10 games, the Kings are giving up 119.5 points per contest, 1.6 more points than their season average (117.9).

Nuggets vs. Kings Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Nuggets, and we predict that Kings will cover the spread (Nuggets -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 231 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Kings

You can bet on Denver vs. Sacramento at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Denver vs. Sacramento picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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