Denver vs. New Orleans Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, November 17, 2023

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The Denver Nuggets (9-2) play the New Orleans Pelicans (5-6) on November 17, 2023. The matchup airs on BSNO.

The Nuggets are a 5.5-point favorite against the Pelicans when the Nuggets and the Pelicans meet. The over/under for the game is 226.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Pelicans

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. New Orleans Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -198 odds to win the game, while New Orleans is listed at +164 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 226 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, November 17, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
  • TV: BSNO

Nuggets vs. Pelicans Betting Trends

The Nuggets have put together a 5-6-0 record against the spread this season. Denver has won nine, or 81.8%, of the 11 games it has played as the favorite this season. This season, Nuggets games have hit the over three times.

The Pelicans have put together a record of 5-5-1 against the spread this year. New Orleans has won in three of the seven contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Pelicans games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic’s numbers for the season are 26.3 points, 7.7 assists and 13.0 boards per game. Michael Porter Jr. averages 13.7 points, 11.3 boards and 2.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.0 blocks. Jamal Murray’s numbers on the season are 20.7 points, 1.7 boards and 6.3 assists per game, shooting 54.5% from the floor and 53.3% from downtown, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Aaron Gordon’s numbers for the season are 11.3 points, 4.0 boards and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 55.2% from the floor.

Pelicans

CJ McCollum’s averages for the season are 18.0 points, 3.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists, making 44.4% of his shots from the floor and 44.4% from 3-point range, with 4.0 triples per game (fifth in league). Zion Williamson contributes with 23.5 points per game, plus 6.0 boards and 2.5 assists. The Pelicans receive 11.5 points per game from Herbert Jones, plus 5.0 boards and 2.0 assists. The Pelicans get 10.0 points, 8.0 boards and 0.5 assists per game from Jonas Valanciunas.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

The Nuggets own a top-five defense this year, ranking fifth-best in the league with 106.3 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 11th with 114.5 points scored per contest. The Nuggets are pulling down 44.6 boards per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this season, while allowing 42.2 rebounds per contest (10th-ranked). With 29.1 dimes per game, the Nuggets rank third-best in the league in the category.

Denver is posting 118.6 points per game this season at home, which is 11.3 more points than it is averaging when playing on the road (107.3). With 11.5 threes per game, Denver is 20th in the NBA. It sports a 35.6% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 17th in the league. In terms of defending three-pointers, it’s been a dominant stretch for Denver, who is giving up 10.5 three-pointers per game (fourth-best in NBA) and a 33.5% shooting percentage from beyond the arc (fifth-best).

What you need to know about the Pelicans

The Pelicans are 19th in the NBA in points scored (111.1 per game) and 20th in points allowed (115.6). New Orleans is 16th in the NBA in rebounds per game (44.2) and third-worst in rebounds allowed (48.3). The Pelicans are 24th in the NBA in assists (23.8 per game) in 2023-24.

In 2023-24 the Pelicans are scoring 6.0 more points per game at home (113.8) than away (107.8). In 2023-24, the Pelicans are 19th in the league in 3-point makes (11.6 per game) and 19th in 3-point percentage (35.0%). Defensively, New Orleans is 19th in the league in 3-pointers conceded per game at 12.9. It is second-best in 3-point percentage allowed at 32.3%.

Nuggets vs. Pelicans Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Nuggets, and we project that Pelicans will cover the spread (Nuggets -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 226 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Pelicans

You can bet on Denver vs. New Orleans at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Denver vs. New Orleans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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