Denver vs. Minnesota Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Tuesday, May 14, 2024

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The Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves are playing in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 5 coming up.

The Nuggets enter their game as a 4-point favorite against the Timberwolves. The matchup’s point total is set at 206.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. Minnesota Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -175 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at +145 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 206 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Tuesday, May 14, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: TNT

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Nuggets have covered the spread 38 times this season (38-42-2). Denver has entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 53, or 73.6%, of those games. Nuggets games have gone over the total 35 times this season.

The Timberwolves have compiled a 40-40-2 record against the spread this season. Minnesota has come away with nine wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. Timberwolves games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 41 times this season.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic’s numbers for the season are 26.4 points, 9.0 assists and 12.4 boards per contest, shooting 58.3% from the field (10th in NBA) and 35.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Michael Porter Jr.’s numbers on the season are 16.7 points, 1.5 assists and 7.0 boards per game. Jamal Murray’s numbers for the season are 21.2 points, 4.1 boards and 6.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.1% from the floor and 42.5% from downtown (10th in NBA), with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest. Aaron Gordon’s numbers for the season are 13.9 points, 3.5 assists and 6.5 boards per contest.

Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards’ averages for the season are 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists, making 46.1% of his shots from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per game. Rudy Gobert adds 14.0 points per game, plus 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists. The Timberwolves get 21.8 points per game from Karl-Anthony Towns, plus 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists. Naz Reid gets the Timberwolves 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per game, plus 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocks.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

The Nuggets rank 14th in the NBA with 114.9 points per game this season. At the other end, they rank sixth with 109.6 points allowed per contest. With 44.4 rebounds per game, the Nuggets rank seventh in the NBA. They allow 42.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks seventh in the league. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are dishing out 29.5 per game (third-best in NBA).

In home games, Denver is averaging 7.3 more points per game (118.5) than it is in road games (111.2). With 11.7 three-pointers per game, Denver is 25th in the NBA. It has a 37.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks ninth in the league. Denver is top-five this year in three-pointers allowed, currently second-best in the league with 11.2 threes allowed per game. Meanwhile, it ranks eighth with a 35.5% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Denver has hit the over four times. The Nuggets have been racking up 108.0 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 114.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 campaign. Denver’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 105.2 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 109.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

In 2023-24, the Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA on offense (113.0 points scored per game) and best on defense (106.5 points allowed). In 2023-24, Minnesota is 15th in the league in rebounds (43.6 per game) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.4). This season the Timberwolves are ranked 15th in the league in assists at 26.6 per game.

The Timberwolves average 112.0 points per game at home, and 114.0 on the road. Beyond the arc, the Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12.6). They are third-best in 3-point percentage at 38.7%. In 2023-24 Minnesota is third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (11.4 per game) and sixth in defensive 3-point percentage (35.4%).

The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Six of Minnesota’s last 10 games have gone over the total. Over its previous 10 games, Minnesota is posting 109.7 points per contest, compared to its season average of 113.0. In their past 10 games, the Timberwolves are surrendering 105.5 points per contest, compared to their season average of 106.5 points allowed.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Nuggets, and we expect that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Nuggets -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 206 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

You can bet on Denver vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Denver vs. Minnesota picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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