Sacramento vs. Dallas Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, November 19, 2023

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The Sacramento Kings (7-4) will try to build on a five-game winning run when visiting the Dallas Mavericks (9-4) on November 19, 2023 at American Airlines Center.

The Kings head into their game as a 3-point favorite against the Mavericks. The game’s over/under is set at 243.

Kings vs. Mavericks Odds

Point Spread for Kings vs. Mavericks

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Kings as the favorite.

Sacramento vs. Dallas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Sacramento has -148 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +124 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 243 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: NBCS

Kings vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

The Kings are 7-4-0 against the spread this season. Sacramento has been the favorite in eight games this season and won five (62.5%) of those contests. This season, Kings games have hit the over six times out of 13 chances.

The Mavericks have covered the spread seven times this year (7-6-0). Dallas has won in one of the three contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. This season, 11 of the Mavericks’ games have gone over the point total.

Kings vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Kings

Domantas Sabonis puts up 17.7 points, 15.0 boards and 5.7 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.7 steals and 0.7 blocks. Keegan Murray is putting up 16.0 points, 2.3 assists and 7.7 boards per contest. Harrison Barnes’ numbers for the season are 17.0 points, 1.7 assists and 3.3 boards per contest. Malik Monk averages 13.7 points, 1.7 boards and 5.3 assists per contest, shooting 39.4% from the field and 35.0% from downtown, with 2.3 made 3-pointers per contest.

Mavericks

Luka Doncic provides the Mavericks 41.0 points, 11.5 boards and 8.5 assists per contest. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.0 blocks. Tim Hardaway Jr. contributes with 18.0 points per game, plus 5.0 boards and 2.5 assists. The Mavericks receive 12.5 points per game from Dereck Lively II, plus 6.0 boards and 0.5 assists. Josh Green averages 9.0 points, 2.5 boards and 1.5 assists, making 41.7% of his shots from the floor and 40.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 treys per contest.

What you need to know about the Kings

So far this year, the Kings are posting 115.9 points per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) and allowing 114.5 points per contest (19th-ranked). The Kings are pulling down 44.0 rebounds per game (16th-ranked in league). They are ceding 42.9 rebounds per contest (11th-ranked). The Kings have been one of the top teams in the league when it comes to assists, as they are averaging 27.5 per game (fourth-best in NBA).

Sacramento scores 120.8 points per game when playing at home, compared to 111.8 points per game on the road, a difference of 9.0 points per contest. Sacramento is top-five this year in three-point shooting, ranking fifth-best in the league with 14.7 three-pointers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 21st with a 34.7% shooting percentage from three-point land. Sacramento is ceding 12.2 three-pointers per game (11th-ranked in league). It is allowing opposing teams to shoot 37.7% (25th-ranked) from downtown.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

Offensively, the Mavericks are the second-best squad in the league (123.5 points per game). Defensively, they are 25th (119.7 points allowed per game). On the glass, Dallas is 22nd in the NBA in rebounds (42.6 per game). It is 22nd in rebounds conceded (45.5 per game). This season the Mavericks are ranked 12th in the NBA in assists at 26.0 per game.

At home the Mavericks are scoring 124.6 points per game, 1.7 more than they are averaging on the road (122.9). Beyond the arc, the Mavericks are best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game at 17.1. And they are third-best in 3-point percentage at 39.0%. In 2023-24, Dallas is 14th in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (12.7 per game) and 20th in defensive 3-point percentage (36.4%).

Kings vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Mavericks, and we project that Mavericks will cover the spread (Kings -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 243 points.

How to bet Kings vs. Mavericks

You can bet on Sacramento vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Sacramento vs. Dallas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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