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The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in a decisive Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals.
The Mavericks are a slight 1.5-point favorite against the Timberwolves. The game’s over/under is set at 211.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds
Point Spread for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Mavericks as the favorite.
Dallas vs. Minnesota Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Dallas has -125 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at +105 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 211 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
- TV: TNT
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Mavericks have covered the spread in a matchup 48 times this season (48-34-0). Dallas has entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 37, or 75.5%, of those games. Mavericks games have gone over the total 36 times this season.
The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this year. Minnesota has won in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Timberwolves games have gone over the total 41 times this season.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Mavericks
Luka Doncic puts up 33.9 points, 9.2 boards and 9.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.5 blocks. Kyrie Irving’s numbers on the season are 25.6 points, 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 49.7% from the field and 41.1% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 made 3-pointers per game (ninth in NBA). Daniel Gafford’s numbers for the season are 11.0 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 72.5% from the field (first in NBA). P.J. Washington’s numbers on the season are 12.9 points, 1.9 assists and 5.6 boards per contest.
Timberwolves
Anthony Edwards gives the Timberwolves 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists per game. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Rudy Gobert averages 14.0 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists, making 66.1% of his shots from the floor (second in NBA). Karl-Anthony Towns’ numbers for the season are 21.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game, making 50.4% of his shots from the field and 41.6% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per game. Naz Reid gives the Timberwolves 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per game, plus 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocks.
What you need to know about the Mavericks
The Mavericks rank seventh in the NBA with 117.9 points per game this season. At the other end of the court, they rank 20th with 115.6 points allowed per game. The Mavericks are pulling down 42.9 rebounds per game (21st-ranked in league). They are giving up 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked). The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA with 25.7 assists per game.
Dallas averages 118.7 points per game when playing at home, compared to 117.0 points per game on the road, a difference of 1.7 points per contest. Dallas ranks top-five this season in three-point shooting, ranking third-best in the league with 14.6 three-pointers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 13th with a 36.9% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. Dallas is allowing 13.1 three-pointers per game (18th-ranked in league). It is allowing opposing teams to shoot 36.8% (18th-ranked) from downtown.
The Mavericks have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their last 10 games. Dallas has hit the over in six of its past 10 games. The Mavericks’ offense has been much worse over their last 10 games, scoring 108.3 points a contest compared to the 117.9 they’ve averaged this season. The past 10 games have seen Dallas concede 9.9 fewer points per game (105.7) than its season-long average (115.6).
What you need to know about the Timberwolves
In 2023-24, the Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA on offense (113.0 points scored per game) and best on defense (106.5 points conceded). On the glass, Minnesota is 15th in the league in rebounds (43.6 per game). It is fourth-best in rebounds conceded (41.4 per game). This season the Timberwolves are ranked 15th in the league in assists at 26.6 per game.
At home, the Timberwolves score 112.0 points per game. On the road, they score 114.0. Beyond the arc, the Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12.6). They are third-best in 3-point percentage at 38.7%. Defensively, Minnesota is third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded per game at 11.4. It is sixth in 3-point percentage allowed at 35.4%.
The Timberwolves are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 games. Minnesota has hit the over in six of its last 10 contests. While Minnesota is posting 113.0 points per game in 2023-24, it has fallen short of that over its last 10 games, amassing 103.9 points per contest. While the Timberwolves are giving up 106.5 points per game in 2023-24, they have improved that mark in their last 10 games, allowing 101.6 points per contest.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Timberwolves, and we predict that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Mavericks -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 211 points.
How to bet Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
You can bet on Dallas vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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