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In Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals, the Dallas Mavericks will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Mavericks are a slight 2-point favorite against the Timberwolves. The point total for the game is 207.5.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds
Point Spread for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing the Mavericks as the favorite.
Dallas vs. Minnesota Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Dallas has -125 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at +105 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 207.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Sunday, May 26, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
- TV: TNT
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Mavericks have covered the spread 48 times over 82 games with a set spread. This season, Dallas has been favored 49 times and won 37, or 75.5%, of those games. This season, 36 of the Mavericks’ games have gone over the point total.
The Timberwolves have put together a record of 40-40-2 against the spread this season. Minnesota has been victorious in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. Timberwolves games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 41 times this season.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Mavericks
Luka Doncic averages 33.9 points, 9.2 boards and 9.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals (seventh in league) and 0.5 blocks. Kyrie Irving posts 25.6 points, 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 49.7% from the field and 41.1% from downtown, with 3.0 made 3-pointers per game (ninth in NBA). Daniel Gafford posts 11.0 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 2.1 blocks (sixth in league). P.J. Washington posts 12.9 points, 5.6 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 43.6% from the floor and 32.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
Timberwolves
Anthony Edwards provides the Timberwolves 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists per game. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Rudy Gobert provides 14.0 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists per game, plus 0.7 steals and 2.1 blocks (sixth in NBA). The Timberwolves get 21.8 points per game from Karl-Anthony Towns, plus 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists. Naz Reid averages 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists, making 47.7% of his shots from the field and 41.4% from 3-point range, with 2.1 treys per contest.
What you need to know about the Mavericks
This year, the Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and surrendering 115.6 points per contest (20th-ranked). So far this year, the Mavericks are pulling down 42.9 rebounds per game (21st-ranked in NBA) and allowing 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked). This year, the Mavericks rank 19th in the league in assists, dishing out 25.7 per game.
At home, Dallas is posting 1.7 more points per game (118.7) than it is in road games (117.0). Dallas ranks third-best in the NBA by draining 14.6 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 13th in the league at 36.9%. Dallas is allowing 13.1 three-pointers per game (18th-ranked in league). It is allowing opponents to shoot 36.8% (18th-ranked) from three-point land.
The Mavericks are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their past 10 contests. Six of Dallas’ past 10 contests have gone over the total. The Mavericks’ offense has been much less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 109.0 points a contest compared to the 117.9 they’ve averaged this year. Dallas has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 104.3 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 115.6 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2023-24 season.
What you need to know about the Timberwolves
Offensively, the Timberwolves are the 18th-ranked squad in the league (113.0 points per game). Defensively, they are best (106.5 points allowed per game). Minnesota is 15th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.6) and fourth-best in rebounds conceded (41.4). With 26.6 assists per game, the Timberwolves are 15th in the league.
The Timberwolves are scoring fewer points at home (112.0 per game) than away (114.0). In 2023-24 the Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA in 3-point makes (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%). Defensively, Minnesota is third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed per game at 11.4. It is sixth in 3-point percentage conceded at 35.4%.
The Timberwolves have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests. Six of Minnesota’s past 10 outings have hit the over. In its previous 10 games, Minnesota is averaging 105.4 points per game, compared to its season average of 113.0. While the Timberwolves are allowing 106.5 points per game in 2023-24, they have improved that mark in their last 10 games, allowing 101.6 points per contest.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this game is Timberwolves, and we project that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Mavericks -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 207.5 points.
How to bet Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
You can bet on Dallas vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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