Celtics vs Nuggets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, November 11

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The Boston Celtics (8-3), playing as 4.5-point favorites, will try to outscore their opponent in a matchup of two top offenses when they face the Denver Nuggets (8-3) on November 11, 2022 at TD Garden. The over/under for this game is 230.5.

Boston Celtics vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Celtics as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Celtics have -185 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +156 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 230.5 points.

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Celtics vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, November 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Arena: TD Garden

Celtics vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

In the Celtics’ 11 games this year, they have five wins against the spread. Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 11 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (72.7%) in those games. Celtics games this year have gone over the total in seven out of 11 opportunities (63.6%).

The Nuggets have played 11 games, with five wins against the spread. Denver has been the moneyline underdog only one other time so far this season, a game it won. The Nuggets have gone over the point total 54.5% of the time this year (six of 11 games with a set point total).

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Celtics

Celtics Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 11 31.2 6.9 4.1 0.8 1.5 3.5
Jaylen Brown 11 25.4 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.5 2.5
Malcolm Brogdon 11 13.7 3.8 3.5 0.5 0.2 1.3
Marcus Smart 11 10.5 3.5 7 1 0.2 1.5
Al Horford 9 10.1 6 2.1 0.3 0.8 1.8

Nuggets

Nuggets Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 11 21.2 9.9 9 1.5 0.7 0.5
Michael Porter Jr. 10 17.8 7.2 1.3 0.6 0.3 3.6
Jamal Murray 10 15.7 3.6 4 1 0 1.6
Aaron Gordon 11 14.4 7 2.6 0.6 1.1 0.8
Nah’Shon Hyland 9 14 1.7 3.7 0.7 0.3 2.9
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Celtics vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Celtics: Malcolm Brogdon: Out (Hamstring), Robert Williams: Out (Knee), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Knee)

Nuggets: Ish Smith: Out (Calf), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

What you need to know about the Boston Celtics

Boston is giving up 114.2 points per game this season (19th-ranked in NBA), but it has really shined offensively, posting 118.7 points per game (second-best). Offensively the Celtics have fared better in home games this year, putting up 122.4 points per game, compared to 115.7 per game when playing on the road.

In terms of three-point shooting, it’s been a dominant stretch for Boston, who is sinking 15.8 three-pointers per game (best in NBA) and shooting 38.8% from beyond the arc (third-best). The Celtics have taken 52.4% two-pointers and 47.6% threes this year. Of the team’s baskets, 61.8% are two-pointers and 38.2% are threes.

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver scores 116.7 points per game and allow 114.4, ranking them sixth in the league on offense and 20th on defense. The Nuggets are scoring more points at home (118.8 per game) than away (115.6).

In 2022-23 Denver is eighth in the NBA in 3-point makes (13.3 per game) and best in 3-point percentage (42%). In 2022-23, the Nuggets have taken 63.9% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 36.1% percent from beyond it. In terms of made shots, 69.8% of the Nuggets’ baskets have been 2-pointers, and 30.2% have been 3-pointers.

Celtics vs. Nuggets Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Celtics, and we expect that Celtics will cover the spread (Celtics -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 230.5 points.

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How to bet Celtics vs. Nuggets

You can bet on Celtics vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Celtics vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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