Celtics vs Heat Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Eastern Conference Finals Game 7

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The Boston Celtics come into a decisive Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Miami Heat as 7.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Monday starts at 8:30 PM ET on TNT from TD Garden. The series is deadlocked 3-3. The over/under for the matchup is set at 204 points.

How to bet Celtics vs. Heat

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Celtics as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Celtics have -282 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +233 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 204 points.

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Celtics vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, May 29, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Arena: TD Garden

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Celtics have 44 wins against the spread in 82 games this year. Boston has come away with 53 wins in the 74 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season. Celtics games this year have hit the over on 43 of 82 set point totals.

The Heat have 30 wins against the spread in 82 games this season. Miami has an 8-16 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games). Heat games this season have hit the over 48.8% of the time (40 out of 82 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Celtics

Celtics Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 74 30.1 8.8 4.6 1.1 0.7 3.2
Jaylen Brown 67 26.6 6.9 3.5 1.1 0.4 2.4
Malcolm Brogdon 67 14.9 4.2 3.7 0.7 0.3 2
Derrick White 82 12.4 3.6 3.9 0.7 0.9 1.8
Marcus Smart 61 11.5 3.1 6.3 1.5 0.4 1.9

Heat

Heat Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 75 20.4 9.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Max Strus 80 11.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 55 11.2 4.1 5.1 1 0.4 1.9
Caleb Martin 71 9.6 4.8 1.6 1 0.4 1.2
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Celtics: None

Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand)

What you need to know about the Boston Celtics

Things are clicking for Boston, which is scoring 117.9 points per game (fourth-best in NBA) and allowing 111.4 points per contest (fourth-best). Offensively the Celtics have fared better at home this year, posting 120.5 points per game, compared to 115.4 per game in away games. The Celtics have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 107.8 points per game in their last 10 outings, 10.1 points fewer than the 117.9 they’ve scored this year.

Boston ranks top-five this season in three-point shooting, ranking second-best in the league with 16 three-pointers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks sixth with a 37.7% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. The Celtics are attempting 46.2 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 52% of the shots they’ve attempted (and 62% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 42.6 three-pointers per contest, which are 48% of their shots (and 38% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

On offense Miami is the worst team in the NBA (109.5 points per game). However defensively it is second-best (109.8 points allowed per game). In 2022-23 the Heat are averaging 3.9 more points per game at home (111.4) than away (107.5). The Heat are averaging 107.4 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 2.1 fewer points than their average for the season (109.5).

Miami is 16th in the league in 3-pointers made (12 per game) and fourth-worst in 3-point percentage (34.4%). In 2022-23, the Heat have taken 40.8% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 59.2% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 30.5% of the Heat’s buckets have been 3-pointers, and 69.5% have been 2-pointers.

Celtics vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Celtics vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Celtics vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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