Celtics vs Heat Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, November 30, 2022

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A matchup featuring one of the NBA’s hottest teams will see the Boston Celtics (17-4, 9-1 over their last 10) face the Miami Heat (10-11) at TD Garden on November 30, 2022. The Celtics are nine-point favorites. The over/under is set at 223 points for the matchup.

How to bet Celtics vs. Heat

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with bookmakers listing the Celtics as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Celtics have -397 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +312 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 223 points.

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Celtics vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, November 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Arena: TD Garden

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Celtics are 13-8-0 this season. Boston has won in 17, or 81%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year. The Celtics have gone over the point total in 61.9% of their opportunities this year (13 times in 21 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, the Heat are 7-13-1 this year. Miami has been the underdog on the moneyline seven total times this season. Miami has finished 1-6 in those games. Heat games this season have gone over the point total 47.6% of the time (10 out of 21 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Celtics Leaders
Jayson Tatum 20 30.8 7.7 4.6 0.9 1.2 3.3
Jaylen Brown 19 26.1 6.5 3.4 1.1 0.3 2.3
Malcolm Brogdon 17 14 3.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.8
Marcus Smart 19 11.6 3.1 7.5 1.1 0.3 1.8
Al Horford 17 11.2 6.3 2.6 0.4 1 2.2


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 13 20.9 6.6 6.1 1.8 0.2 0.8
Bam Adebayo 19 20.5 9.4 3.2 1 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 13 18.1 6.5 3.8 0.6 0.5 2.4
Max Strus 19 15.3 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 3.1
Kyle Lowry 21 14.6 4.9 6.2 1.1 0.7 2.4
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Celtics: Jaylen Brown: Out (Neck), Al Horford: Out (Back), Robert Williams: Out (Knee), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Knee)

Heat: Duncan Robinson: Questionable (Ankle), Jimmy Butler: Out (Knee), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle), Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Boston Celtics

Boston owns a top-five offense this season, ranking best in the league with 121.3 points per game. At the other end, it ranks 14th with 112.9 points allowed per contest. The Celtics score 126 points per game at home, compared to 116.1 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 9.9 points per contest. The Celtics’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, scoring 124.1 points per contest compared to the 121.3 they’ve averaged this year.

In terms of three-point shooting, it’s been a dominant stretch for Boston, who is making 16.7 treys per game (best in NBA) and shooting 40.3% from beyond the arc (best). When it comes to shot breakdown, the Celtics have taken 52.2% two-pointers (accounting for 61.1% of the team’s buckets) and 47.8% from beyond the arc (38.9%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami is the third-worst squad in the NBA in points scored (108.4 per game) and eighth in points allowed (108.9). At home, the Heat score 111 points per game. On the road, they average 105. The Heat are posting 108.9 points per contest in their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 108.4.

Miami makes 11.7 3-pointers per game and shoots 33.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 17th and 24th, respectively, in the NBA. The Heat take 41% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 59% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 30.4% of the Heat’s buckets are 3-pointers, and 69.6% are 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Celtics, and we project that Celtics will cover the spread (Celtics -9). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 223 points.

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You can bet on Celtics vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Celtics vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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