Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, March 10, 2023

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A matchup between a pair of the best teams in the league defensively features the Miami Heat (35-32) favored by two points as they host the Cleveland Cavaliers (42-26) at FTX Arena on March 10, 2023. The point total is 212.5 points for the contest.

How to bet Heat vs. Cavaliers

Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Cavaliers are listed at +107 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 212.5 points.

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Heat vs. Cavaliers Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Cavaliers Betting Trends

In the Heat’s 67 games this season, they have 23 wins against the spread. Miami has won 29, or 61.7%, of the 47 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Heat games this year have gone over the point total 42.6% of the time (29 out of 68 games with a set point total).

The Cavaliers have played 68 games, with 37 wins against the spread. Cleveland has gone 3-11 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 21.4% of those games). The Cavaliers have eclipsed the over/under 47.1% of the time this season (32 of 68 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 52 22.1 6.1 5.2 1.9 0.3 0.5
Bam Adebayo 62 21.2 9.5 3.2 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 53 20.3 5.6 4.4 0.8 0.3 3.1
Max Strus 65 11.9 3.4 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.4
Victor Oladipo 34 10.4 3.3 3.5 1.4 0.3 1.5


Cavaliers Leaders
Donovan Mitchell 57 27.4 4.1 4.7 1.5 0.4 3.6
Darius Garland 58 22 2.7 7.9 1.3 0.1 2.6
Evan Mobley 66 16.1 9 2.7 0.8 1.4 0.3
Jarrett Allen 61 14.5 9.8 1.6 0.8 1.2 0
Caris LeVert 62 11.4 4 3.9 0.8 0.3 1.5
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Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Knee), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee)

Cavaliers: None

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this year, ranking worst in the NBA with 108.3 points per game, it has been forced to rely on its defense, which ranks second-best in the league by surrendering 109.1 points per game. The Heat are averaging 109.2 points per game this season at home, which is 1.8 more points than they’re averaging on the road (107.4). On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 107.9 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 108.3 they’ve put up over the course of this season.

Miami ranks 17th in the NBA by making 11.6 threes per game, but it sports a 33.6% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks third-worst in the league. Of the shots taken by the Heat in 2022-23, 59.7% of them have been two-pointers (70.1% of the team’s made baskets) and 40.3% have been from beyond the arc (29.9%).

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What you need to know about the Cleveland Cavaliers

In 2022-23, Cleveland is 25th in the league on offense (111.9 points scored per game) and best on defense (106.5 points conceded). The Cavaliers average 113.7 points per game at home, and 110.1 on the road. The Cavaliers have fared better offensively in their past 10 games, scoring 112.1 points per contest, 0.2 more than their season average of 111.9.

In 2022-23, Cleveland is 18th in the league in 3-point makes (11.5 per game) and 13th in 3-point percentage (36.3%). The Cavaliers take 37.2% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 27.7% of their made shots are from there. Inside the 3-point line, they attempt 62.8% of their shots, with 72.3% of their makes coming from there.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Cavaliers, and we project that Cavaliers will cover the spread (Heat -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 212.5 points.

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You can bet on Heat vs. Cavaliers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Cavaliers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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