Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Wednesday, March 8, 2023

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A contest featuring two of the strongest teams in the NBA defensively features the Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26) favored by two points as they visit the Miami Heat (35-31) at FTX Arena on March 8, 2023. The over/under in this contest is set at 215.

How to bet Cavaliers vs. Heat

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with bookmakers listing the Cavaliers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Cavaliers have -131 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +110 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 215 points.

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Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Cavaliers vs. Heat Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Cavaliers are 36-30-1 this season. Cleveland has been the favorite in 53 games this season and has come away with the win 38 times (71.7%) in those contests. Cavaliers games this year have hit the over on 32 of 66 set point totals.

The Heat have played 66 games, with 23 wins against the spread. Miami has been the moneyline underdog 19 total times this season. Miami has gone 6-13 in those games. Heat games this year have hit the over 43.9% of the time (29 out of 66 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Cavaliers Leaders
Donovan Mitchell 56 27.6 4.1 4.8 1.5 0.4 3.6
Darius Garland 57 21.9 2.7 7.9 1.3 0.1 2.6
Evan Mobley 65 16.1 9.1 2.7 0.8 1.4 0.3
Jarrett Allen 60 14.5 9.7 1.6 0.8 1.2 0
Caris LeVert 61 11.4 3.9 4 0.8 0.3 1.5


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 51 21.9 6.1 5.2 1.9 0.3 0.5
Bam Adebayo 61 21.2 9.7 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 52 20.3 5.6 4.4 0.8 0.3 3
Max Strus 64 12 3.5 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Victor Oladipo 33 10.5 3.2 3.5 1.4 0.3 1.5
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Cavaliers vs. Heat Injury Report

Heat: Kevin Love: Questionable (Knee), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland is scoring 112.1 points per game this season (24th-ranked in NBA), but it has really shined defensively, surrendering just 106.6 points per game (best). When playing at home, the Cavaliers are putting up 3.4 more points per game (113.7) than they are in road games (110.3). The Cavaliers’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, scoring 113.5 points per contest compared to the 112.1 they’ve averaged this season.

With 11.5 treys per game, Cleveland is 18th in the NBA. It sports a 36.4% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 13th in the league. Of the shots attempted by the Cavaliers in 2022-23, 62.8% of them have been two-pointers (72.2% of the team’s made baskets) and 37.2% have been from beyond the arc (27.8%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami is the worst squad in the NBA in points scored (108.5 per game) but second-best in points allowed (109.1). The Heat average 109.5 points per game at home, and 107.4 on the road. In their past 10 games, the Heat are putting up 108.6 points per game, 0.1 more than their season average (108.5).

In 2022-23 Miami is 17th in the league in 3-point makes (11.7 per game) and fourth-worst in 3-point percentage (33.7%). In 2022-23, the Heat have taken 40.3% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 59.7% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 30% of the Heat’s buckets have been 3-pointers, and 70% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Cavaliers, and we expect that Heat will cover the spread (Cavaliers -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 215 points.

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You can bet on Cavaliers vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Cavaliers vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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