Bucks vs Pacers Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, January 16, 2023

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The Milwaukee Bucks (27-16) host the Indiana Pacers (23-21) at Fiserv Forum, starting at 2:30 PM ET on Monday, January 16, 2023. The Pacers are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s point total is 228.5.

How to bet Bucks vs. Pacers

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Bucks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Bucks have -239 odds to pick up the win, while the Pacers are listed at +208 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 228.5 points.

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Bucks vs. Pacers Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, January 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSW
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Arena: Fiserv Forum

Bucks vs. Pacers Betting Trends

The Bucks have played 43 games, with 22 wins against the spread. Milwaukee has come away with 23 wins in the 32 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. Bucks games this year have hit the over on 20 of 44 set point totals.

In the Pacers’ 44 games this year, they have 26 wins against the spread. Indiana is 16-18 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.1% of those games). The Pacers have eclipsed the over/under 47.7% of the time this season (21 of 44 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Bucks Leaders
Giannis Antetokounmpo 35 31.0 11.9 5.3 0.8 0.9 0.7
Jrue Holiday 32 18.3 4.9 7.3 1.4 0.4 2.3
Brook Lopez 42 14.4 6.5 1.2 0.6 2.5 2.0
Bobby Portis 43 14.0 10.0 1.8 0.5 0.3 1.1
Grayson Allen 39 10.2 3.5 2.6 0.7 0.2 1.8


Pacers Leaders
Buddy Hield 44 18.0 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.3 3.9
Bennedict Mathurin 44 17.3 3.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 1.5
Myles Turner 35 17.0 7.9 1.5 0.6 2.3 1.4
Jalen Smith 42 10.0 6.1 1.1 0.4 0.9 0.9
Aaron Nesmith 37 9.6 3.9 1.3 0.8 0.5 1.4
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Bucks: Joe Ingles: Out (Injury Management), Giannis Antetokounmpo: Probable (Knee), Jrue Holiday: Probable (Ankle), Serge Ibaka: Out (Personal), Khris Middleton: Out (Knee)

Pacers: Goga Bitadze: Questionable (Illness), Myles Turner: Questionable (Back), Tyrese Haliburton: Out (Elbow/Knee), Kendall Brown: Out (Leg), Daniel Theis: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Milwaukee Bucks

So far this season, Milwaukee is scoring 111.8 points per game (23rd-ranked in NBA) and ceding 110.9 points per contest (sixth-ranked). The Bucks average 117.1 points per game at home, compared to 106.7 points per game in road games, a difference of 10.4 points per contest. In their last 10 games, the Bucks have been scoring 108.9 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 111.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Milwaukee ranks sixth in the NBA with 13.7 three-pointers per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 19th with a 34.8% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. When it comes to shot breakdown, the Bucks have taken 56.2% two-pointers (accounting for 66.3% of the team’s buckets) and 43.8% three-pointers (33.7%).

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What you need to know about the Indiana Pacers

On offense Indiana is the 10th-ranked team in the league (115.4 points per game). Defensively it is 20th (115.9 points conceded per game). At home, the Pacers score 117.9 points per game. Away, they average 112.4. Over their previous 10 games, the Pacers are putting up 120.3 points per game, 4.9 more than their season average (115.4).

Beyond the arc, Indiana is fifth-best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.1). It is 12th in 3-point percentage at 36.3%. In 2022-23, the Pacers have taken 43.2% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 56.8% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 34.2% of the Pacers’ buckets have been 3-pointers, and 65.8% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Bucks, and we project that Pacers will cover the spread (Bucks -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 228.5 points.

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You can bet on Bucks vs. Pacers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Bucks vs. Pacers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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