Heat vs Bucks Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, January 14, 2023

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A contest between two of the strongest squads in the NBA defensively features the Miami Heat (23-20) favored by four points as they host the Milwaukee Bucks (27-15) at FTX Arena on January 14, 2023. The point total is 213.5 points for this contest.

How to bet Heat vs. Bucks

Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing the Heat as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Heat have -173 odds to pick up the win, while the Bucks are listed at +146 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 213.5 points.

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Heat vs. Bucks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 14, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: FTX Arena

Heat vs. Bucks Betting Trends

The Heat are 16-24-3 against the spread this year. Miami has come away with 19 wins in the 30 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. Heat games this year have gone over the total in 19 out of 42 opportunities (45.2%).

The Bucks have played 42 games, with 22 wins against the spread. Milwaukee has won four of the 10 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (40%). The Bucks have hit the over 47.6% of the time this year (20 of 42 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 29 21.9 6.6 5.4 2.1 0.4 0.7
Bam Adebayo 38 21.5 10 3.1 1.1 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 32 21.2 6 4.4 1 0.3 3.3
Max Strus 41 13.2 3.6 2 0.8 0.2 2.7
Victor Oladipo 17 11.6 3.4 3.6 1.7 0.2 1.6


Bucks Leaders
Giannis Antetokounmpo 35 31 11.9 5.3 0.8 0.9 0.7
Jrue Holiday 31 18.5 5 7.2 1.4 0.4 2.3
Brook Lopez 41 14.5 6.5 1.2 0.6 2.5 2
Bobby Portis 42 14 10 1.8 0.4 0.3 1.1
Grayson Allen 38 10.2 3.6 2.6 0.7 0.2 1.8
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Heat vs. Bucks Injury Report

Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo: Questionable (Knee), Joe Ingles: Out (Injury Management), Serge Ibaka: Out (Personal), Khris Middleton: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Because of Miami’s offensive struggles this year, ranking worst in the NBA with 108.8 points per game, it has been forced to lean on its defense, which ranks second-best in the league by ceding 108.8 points per game. Offensively the Heat have played better at home this season, posting 109.6 points per game, compared to 107.9 per game when playing on the road. On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat have picked up their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 111.4 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 108.8 they’ve put up over the course of this season.

Miami is draining 12.2 threes per game (13th-ranked in league). It has a 33.8% shooting percentage (24th-ranked) from downtown. The Heat have taken 58.2% two-pointers and 41.8% three-pointers this season. Of the team’s baskets, 68.7% are two-pointers and 31.3% are threes.

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What you need to know about the Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee scores 112.2 points per game and give up 110.9, making them 21st in the league offensively and sixth on defense. The Bucks average 117.1 points per game at home, and 107.2 on the road. Over their previous 10 games, the Bucks are scoring 111.2 points per game, compared to their season average of 112.2.

In 2022-23, Milwaukee is seventh in the league in 3-point makes (13.5 per game) and 19th in 3-point percentage (34.7%). The Bucks take 43.5% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 33.3% of their made shots are from there. Inside the 3-point line, they take 56.5% of their shots, with 66.7% of their makes coming from there.

Heat vs. Bucks Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Heat vs. Bucks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Heat vs. Bucks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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