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The Miami Heat (44-38) are looking to pull off an upset as 8-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, and will face off against the Milwaukee Bucks at FTX Arena on Monday, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat hold a 2-1 lead in the series. The matchup’s over/under is set at 218.
How to bet Bucks vs. Heat
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with bookmakers listing the Bucks as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Bucks have -357 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +284 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 218 points.
Bucks vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Monday, April 24, 2023
- Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: TNT
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: FTX Arena
Bucks vs. Heat Betting Trends
The Bucks are 42-35-5 against the spread this year. Milwaukee has been the favorite in 66 games this season and has come away with the win 54 times (81.8%) in those contests. The Bucks have eclipsed the over/under in 50% of their opportunities this year (41 times in 82 games with a set point total).
The Heat are 30-48-4 against the spread this season. Miami has won 33.3% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (8-16). Heat games this year have hit the over on 40 of 82 set point totals (48.8%).
Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players
Bucks
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 63 | 31.1 | 11.8 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Jrue Holiday | 67 | 19.3 | 5.1 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| Brook Lopez | 78 | 15.9 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Khris Middleton | 33 | 15.1 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 |
| Bobby Portis | 70 | 14.1 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 |
Heat
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 64 | 22.9 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Bam Adebayo | 75 | 20.4 | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Max Strus | 80 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Kyle Lowry | 55 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.9 |
| Caleb Martin | 71 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo: Questionable (Back), Serge Ibaka: Out (Personal), Wesley Matthews: Out (Calf)
Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Bam Adebayo: Probable (Hamstring), Jimmy Butler: Questionable (Glute), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back)
What you need to know about the Milwaukee Bucks
So far this season, Milwaukee is posting 116.9 points per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) and giving up 113.3 points per contest (14th-ranked). Offensively the Bucks have performed better in home games this season, scoring 118.8 points per game, compared to 115 per game in away games. In their last 10 games, the Bucks have been scoring 118.3 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 116.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.
Milwaukee has a 36.8% three-point percentage this year (10th-ranked in NBA), but it has really provided a lift by draining 14.8 threes per contest (fourth-best). Of the shots taken by the Bucks in 2022-23, 55.4% of them have been two-pointers (65.3% of the team’s made baskets) and 44.6% have been from beyond three-point land (34.7%).
What you need to know about the Miami Heat
Offensively Miami is the worst team in the NBA (109.5 points per game). But defensively it is second-best (109.8 points allowed per game). At home, the Heat average 111.4 points per game. Away, they score 107.5. Over their past 10 games, the Heat are averaging 116.4 points per contest, 6.9 more than their season average (109.5).
Beyond the arc, Miami is 16th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12). It is fourth-worst in 3-point percentage at 34.4%. The Heat attempt 59.2% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 40.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 69.5% of the Heat’s buckets are 2-pointers, and 30.5% are 3-pointers.
Bucks vs. Heat Predictions and Pick
You can bet on Bucks vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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