Bucks vs Heat Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, February 24, 2023

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Two of the top defensive teams in the league meet when the Milwaukee Bucks (41-17) hit the floor as four-point favorites versus the Miami Heat (32-27) on February 24, 2023 at Fiserv Forum. The over/under for this contest is 221.5.

How to bet Bucks vs. Heat

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing the Bucks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Bucks have -174 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +148 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 221.5 points.

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Bucks vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, February 24, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Arena: Fiserv Forum

Bucks vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Bucks are 32-23-3 against the spread this year. Milwaukee has come away with 37 wins in the 46 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. The Bucks have gone over the point total in 45.8% of their opportunities this year (27 times in 59 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, the Heat are 21-35-3 this year. Miami has been the moneyline underdog 17 total times this season. Miami has finished 5-12 in those games. Heat games this year have hit the over 26 times in 59 opportunities (44.1%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Bucks Leaders
Giannis Antetokounmpo 47 31.8 12.2 5.4 0.8 0.8 0.8
Jrue Holiday 47 19.4 5.2 7.1 1.3 0.4 2.4
Brook Lopez 57 14.5 6.5 1.2 0.5 2.4 1.8
Bobby Portis 47 14.4 10.1 1.8 0.5 0.2 1.2
Khris Middleton 17 13.6 3.8 3.9 0.6 0.2 1.4


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 44 21.7 6 5.1 2 0.4 0.5
Bam Adebayo 54 21.6 10 3.3 1.2 0.8 0
Tyler Herro 45 20.6 5.7 4.4 0.9 0.3 3
Max Strus 57 12.6 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.6
Victor Oladipo 26 11.2 3.5 3.9 1.7 0.2 1.4
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Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo: Doubtful (Wrist), Pat Connaughton: Doubtful (Calf), Serge Ibaka: Out (Personal)

Heat: Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Probable (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Questionable (Back)

What you need to know about the Milwaukee Bucks

With 114.8 points per game on offense, Milwaukee is 13th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, it gives up 111.6 points per contest, which ranks sixth in the league. The Bucks are averaging 118.9 points per game this year at home, which is 8.1 more points than they’re averaging in away games (110.8). In their last 10 games, the Bucks have been scoring 123.3 points per game, an average that’s significantly higher than the 114.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Milwaukee sports a 35.9% three-point percentage this season (15th-ranked in NBA), but it has really provided a lift by making 14.4 treys per contest (fourth-best). Of the shots attempted by the Bucks in 2022-23, 55.6% of them have been two-pointers (65.6% of the team’s made baskets) and 44.4% have been from beyond the arc (34.4%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

In 2022-23, Miami is worst in the league on offense (108.3 points scored per game) but second-best defensively (108.3 points allowed). The Heat are scoring more points at home (108.7 per game) than on the road (108). In their last 10 games, the Heat are scoring 107.9 points per contest, 0.4 fewer points than their season average (108.3).

Miami is 18th in the league in 3-pointers made (11.6 per game) and third-worst in 3-point percentage (33.4%). The Heat attempt 40.3% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 29.8% of their made baskets are from there. Inside the 3-point line, they take 59.7% of their shots, with 70.2% of their makes coming from there.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Bucks, and we predict that Bucks will cover the spread (Bucks -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 221.5 points.

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You can bet on Bucks vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Bucks vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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