A game featuring a pair of the best squads in the league defensively features the Milwaukee Bucks (35-17) favored by 5.5 points as they host the Miami Heat (29-24) at Fiserv Forum on February 4, 2023. The matchup’s point total is set at 223.
How to bet Bucks vs. Heat
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Bucks as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Bucks have -227 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +187 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 223 points.

Bucks vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Saturday, February 4, 2023
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: BSSU
- Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- Arena: Fiserv Forum
Bucks vs. Heat Betting Trends
The Bucks have played 52 games, with 27 wins against the spread. Milwaukee has been chosen as the favorite in 40 games this year and has walked away with the win 31 times (77.5%) in those games. Bucks games this year have eclipsed the over/under 47.2% of the time (25 out of 53 games with a set point total).
The Heat have 20 wins against the spread in 53 games this season. Miami has gone 5-10 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games). Heat games this season have hit the over 41.5% of the time (22 out of 53 games with a set point total).

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players
Bucks
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Giannis Antetokounmpo | 41 | 32.3 | 12.3 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Jrue Holiday | 41 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.2 |
Brook Lopez | 51 | 14.2 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
Khris Middleton | 13 | 12 | 3 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 |
Grayson Allen | 48 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.9 |
Heat
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jimmy Butler | 38 | 21.7 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Bam Adebayo | 48 | 21.6 | 10 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
Tyler Herro | 41 | 20.3 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3 |
Max Strus | 51 | 12.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.6 |
Victor Oladipo | 26 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 |

Bucks vs. Heat Injury Report
Heat: Victor Oladipo: Probable (Ankle), Orlando Robinson: Out (Thumb), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back), Duncan Robinson: Out (Finger), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)
What you need to know about the Milwaukee Bucks
With 114.1 points per game on offense, Milwaukee ranks 18th in the NBA. Defensively, it gives up 111.8 points per contest, which ranks sixth in the league. The Bucks are putting up 118.3 points per game when playing at home. On the road, they are averaging 109.6 points per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bucks have picked up their production significantly over their last 10 games, scoring 122.2 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 114.1 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
Milwaukee ranks fifth-best in the NBA by sinking 14.2 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 17th in the league at 35.8%. When it comes to shot breakdown, the Bucks have taken 56% two-pointers (accounting for 65.7% of the team’s baskets) and 44% three-pointers (34.3%).

What you need to know about the Miami Heat
In 2022-23, Miami is worst in the league on offense (108.4 points scored per game) but second-best on defense (108.1 points conceded). At home, the Heat average 108.8 points per game. On the road, they average 107.9. In their last 10 games, the Heat are posting 106.7 points per contest, 1.7 fewer points than their season average (108.4).
In 2022-23 Miami is 18th in the NBA in 3-point makes (11.8 per game) and fifth-worst in 3-point percentage (33.7%). In 2022-23, the Heat have taken 40.7% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 59.3% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 30.2% of the Heat’s baskets have been 3-pointers, and 69.8% have been 2-pointers.
Our prediction to win this matchup is the Bucks, and we predict that Heat will cover the spread (Bucks -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 223 points.




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