Boston vs. Miami Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, February 11, 2024

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetYGhw8qk Betsperts Media & Technology

bet365 Sportsbook Promo
$1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5, Get $150
FanDuel Promo Code
Bet $5, Get $150 if your bet wins!
Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code
Claim a First Bet on Caesars up to $1,000!
DraftKings Promo Code
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000
BetMGM Sportsbook Promo
Bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets

The Boston Celtics (40-12) travel to face the Miami Heat (28-24) after victories in four straight road games.

The Celtics enter their matchup against the Heat as a 6-point favorite. The matchup’s point total is set at 226.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds

Point Spread for Celtics vs. Heat

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing the Celtics as the favorite.

Boston vs. Miami Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boston has -225 odds to win the game, while Miami is listed at +185 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 226 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, February 11, 2024 at 2:00 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: ABC

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Celtics have covered the spread 24 times over 52 games with a set spread. Boston has won 39, or 78%, of the 50 games it has played as the favorite this season. This season, Celtics games have hit the over 26 times.

The Heat have covered the spread in a matchup 23 times this year (23-27-2). Miami has been victorious in six, or 28.6%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. This year, 21 of the Heat’s games have gone over the point total.

Celtics vs. Heat Key Players to Watch

Celtics

Jayson Tatum’s numbers on the season are 27.0 points, 4.6 assists and 8.4 boards per contest. Jaylen Brown’s numbers on the season are 22.1 points, 5.5 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 49.5% from the floor and 34.4% from downtown, with 1.9 made 3-pointers per contest. Derrick White averages 15.5 points, 4.0 boards and 4.8 assists per game, shooting 45.8% from the floor and 39.8% from downtown, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game. Jrue Holiday’s numbers on the season are 13.3 points, 4.6 assists and 6.0 boards per contest.

Heat

Bam Adebayo’s averages for the season are 20.2 points, 10.5 rebounds and 4.0 assists, making 50.9% of his shots from the field. Jimmy Butler averages 21.4 points, 5.5 boards and 4.6 assists, making 50.0% of his shots from the field and 44.0% from 3-point range, with 1.0 triples per contest. The Heat get 23.2 points per game from Terry Rozier, plus 3.9 boards and 6.6 assists. Tyler Herro’s averages for the season are 20.9 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists, making 43.6% of his shots from the floor and 40.8% from beyond the arc, with 3.3 treys per game.

What you need to know about the Celtics

The Celtics have been led by their offense, as they rank fourth-best in the NBA by putting up 120.6 points per game. They rank seventh in the league in points allowed (111.1 per contest). The Celtics are top-five this season in rebounding, ranking best in the league with 47.5 boards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 20th with 44.3 rebounds allowed per contest. So far this season, the Celtics rank 20th in the league in assists, delivering 26.0 per game.

Boston puts up 122.1 points per game at home, compared to 119.0 points per game away from home, a difference of 3.1 points per contest. Boston ranks best in the NBA by sinking 16.2 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks seventh in the league at 37.7%. With a 35.0% three-point percentage allowed this season, Boston is fourth-best in the NBA. It ranks 17th in the league by allowing 13.3 three-pointers per contest.

The Celtics are 3-7 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their past 10 contests. Boston has gone over the total in four of its past 10 outings. The Celtics’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 121.5 points per contest compared to the 120.6 they’ve averaged this season. Boston has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 112.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 111.1 it has conceded this year.

What you need to know about the Heat

The Heat are the fourth-worst squad in the NBA in points scored (110.5 per game) but fourth-best in points allowed (110.8). In 2023-24, Miami is 23rd in the league in rebounds (42.1 per game) and 14th in rebounds conceded (43.0). The Heat are 21st in the NBA in assists (25.9 per game) in 2023-24.

In 2023-24 the Heat are scoring 5.9 more points per game at home (113.3) than away (107.4). The Heat are 17th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.3 per game) and 11th in 3-point percentage (37.2%). Giving up 13.5 3-pointers per game and conceding 36.5% from downtown, Miami is 22nd and 14th in the league, respectively, in those categories.

The Heat have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their past 10 contests. Three of Miami’s last 10 games have hit the over. Over its previous 10 games, Miami is tallying 106.4 points per game, compared to its season average of 110.5. While the Heat are ceding 110.8 points per game in 2023-24, they have improved that mark in their previous 10 games, allowing 110.6 points per contest.

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Celtics, and we expect that Celtics will cover the spread (Celtics -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 226 points.

How to bet Celtics vs. Heat

You can bet on Boston vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boston vs. Miami picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

bet365 Sportsbook Promo
$1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5, Get $150
FanDuel Promo Code
Bet $5, Get $150 if your bet wins!
Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code
Claim a First Bet on Caesars up to $1,000!
DraftKings Promo Code
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000
BetMGM Sportsbook Promo
Bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All