Boston vs. Indiana Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, May 27, 2024

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In Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals, the Boston Celtics will take on the Indiana Pacers.

The Celtics hit the court as 7-point favorites against the Pacers. The over/under for the game is 222.5.

Celtics vs. Pacers Odds

Point Spread for Celtics vs. Pacers

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing the Celtics as the favorite.

Boston vs. Indiana Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boston has -285 odds to win the game, while Indiana is listed at +230 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 222.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Monday, May 27, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
  • TV: ESPN

Celtics vs. Pacers Betting Trends

The Celtics have registered a 42-36-4 record against the spread this season. Boston has entered the game as favorites 79 times this season and won 63, or 79.7%, of those games. Celtics games have gone over the total 43 times this season.

The Pacers have covered the spread 44 times in 82 games with a set spread. Indiana has been an underdog in 38 games this season and has come away with the win 20 times (52.6%) in those contests. Pacers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 42 times this season.

Celtics vs. Pacers Key Players to Watch

Celtics

Jayson Tatum’s numbers for the season are 26.9 points, 4.9 assists and 8.1 boards per contest. Jaylen Brown is posting 23.0 points, 3.6 assists and 5.5 boards per contest. Derrick White is averaging 15.2 points, 5.2 assists and 4.2 boards per game. Jrue Holiday posts 12.5 points, 5.4 boards and 4.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocks.

Pacers

Pascal Siakam averages 21.7 points, 7.1 boards and 4.3 assists, making 53.6% of his shots from the floor and 34.6% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per game. Tyrese Haliburton contributes with 20.1 points per game, plus 3.9 boards and 10.9 assists. Myles Turner gives the Pacers 17.1 points, 6.9 boards and 1.3 assists per contest, plus 0.5 steals and 1.9 blocks (ninth in NBA). The Pacers get 10.2 points per game from T.J. McConnell, plus 2.7 boards and 5.5 assists.

What you need to know about the Celtics

In terms of points, the Celtics are thriving both offensively and defensively, as they rank second-best in the league in points scored (120.6 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (109.2 per contest). The Celtics are top-five this season in rebounding, ranking second-best in the league with 46.3 boards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 14th with 43.3 rebounds allowed per contest. The Celtics are putting up 26.9 assists per game, which ranks them 14th in the NBA in 2023-24.

Boston posts 123.1 points per game in home games, compared to 118.0 points per game in away games, a difference of 5.1 points per contest. When it comes to three-point shooting, everything is clicking for Boston, who is sinking 16.5 threes per game (best in NBA) and shooting 38.8% from three-point land (second-best). Boston ranks fourth-best in the NBA by allowing a three-point shooting percentage of 35.2% to opposing teams. It ranks 14th in the league by allowing 12.9 threes per contest.

The Celtics have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in their last 10 contests. Boston has gone over the total in seven of its last 10 outings. The Celtics’ offense has been much worse over their last 10 games, scoring 113.5 points a contest compared to the 120.6 they’ve averaged this year. Boston has been tougher on defense lately, allowing 102.7 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 109.2 points per game its opponents average in the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Pacers

In 2023-24, the Pacers are best in the NBA offensively (123.3 points scored per game) but fourth-worst on defense (120.2 points conceded). Indiana is the third-worst team in the NBA in rebounds per game (41.5) and 15th in rebounds conceded (43.4). The Pacers are best in the NBA in assists (30.8 per game) in 2023-24.

At home the Pacers are putting up 125.5 points per game, 4.5 more than they are averaging away (121.0). The Pacers make 13.2 3-pointers per game and shoot 37.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 10th and ninth, respectively, in the league. In 2023-24 Indiana is best in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded (10.7 per game) and 16th in defensive 3-point percentage (36.5%).

The Pacers have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Indiana has gone over the total in seven of its last 10 contests. Indiana is putting up 115.6 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 7.7 fewer points than its average for the season (123.3). While the Pacers are allowing 120.2 points per game in 2023-24, they have bettered that mark in their past 10 games, allowing 115.2 points per contest.

Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Celtics, and we predict that Pacers will cover the spread (Celtics -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 222.5 points.

How to bet Celtics vs. Pacers

You can bet on Boston vs. Indiana at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boston vs. Indiana picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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